In this article we will formulate a Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 26th at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 1-2 this season after they lost to TCU by a score of 31-7 last week. Arkansas State cut the deficit to 14-7 in the second quarter, but they allowed 17 points in the second half in the loss. The Red Wolves were out gained by a total of 468-261, went 5-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Trey Owens threw for 133 yards, while Hunter Summers caught three passes for 47 yards. Owens also led the rushing attack with 58 yards on seven carries in the loss.
Prior to that game, Arkansas State defeated West Georgia by a score of 52-7, but lost to Memphis by a score of 42-24 before that. The Red Wolves have scored 27.7 points per game with 197.7 passing yards and 164.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.7 points against per game this season. Trey Owens has thrown for 593 yards with three touchdowns and four interceptions this season.
Kennesaw State Owls Betting Preview
The Kennesaw State Owls are 1-2 this year after they lost to Tennessee by a score of 42-9 last week. Kennesaw State trailed 21-3 at halftime and they were outscored 21-6 in the second half in the loss. The Owls were out gained by a total of 446-291, went 5-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Rickie Collins threw for 189 yards, while Zion Booker caught 10 passes for 78 yards. Collins also led the ground game with 14 carries for 36 yards in the game.
Prior to that loss, Kennesaw State lost to Georgia State by a score of 31-17, but did beat West Georgia by a score of 47-0 before that. The Owls have scored 24.3 points per game with 225.0 passing yards and 157.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.3 points against per game this season. Rickie Collins has thrown for 620 yards with two touchdowns and one interception, while also rushing for 133 yards and three scores this year.
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
- Arkansas State has won each of its last nine September games as a home favorite.
- Kennesaw State has lost three of its last four games.
- Arkansas State has covered the spread in each of its last six home games against teams from Georgia.
- Arkansas State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games as a favorite.
- Arkansas State has won the first quarter in three of its last four September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Kennesaw State Owls will win
- Arkansas State has lost eight of its last nine games in September.
- Kennesaw State has won four of its last five September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Arkansas State’s last six games at Centennial Bank Stadium.
- Arkansas State has lost the first half in nine of its last 10 games in September.
- Kennesaw State has won the first quarter in three of its last four September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Kennesaw State’s last eight September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Arkansas State’s last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Jaylen Bonelli ranks 7th in the Sun Belt Conference for punt return yards (34) this season.
Kennesaw State Owls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Rickie Collins ranks 1st in the Conference USA for rushing touchdowns (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arkansas State ranks T5th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (5).
- Arkansas State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.0).
- Kennesaw State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Kennesaw State ranks 120th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (182.3).
Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State Prediction
Arkansas State comes into this matchup after failing to cover against TCU last week and they are 1-2 ATS this year. The Red Wolves dominated West Georgia in their first win, but lost by 18 to Memphis in week one. Kennesaw State played decently well against Tennessee last week, but lost by 14 to Georgia State before that. Neither team has a FBS win so far this year and I really don’t think much separates them, so give me the points with the Owls here.