Arkansas vs Auburn Prediction
In this Arkansas vs Auburn prediction, Auburn is coming as -11.5 home favorites. Auburn might have a slightly better record, but has been mediocre at home and has been terrible against the spread, with a 1-5 ATS record in its last 6 games. Auburn has also been in bad shape lately, having a 1-3 record in its last four game and has lost two of its last three home games, while being terrible on the defensive end, allowing 83 points in its last two games combined, so they should not be a double-digit favorite in this spot. Arkansas has covered the spread in two of its last three games and has won its previous road game in Vanderbilt by 31-21, so I expect them to keep this one kinda close. Take Arkansas and grab those +1.5 points in this one.
Auburn Tigers Preview
Auburn has a 4-4 record and a 2-4 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 15-45 road loss against Ole Miss and will face Mississippi State and Samford next.
Offensively, Auburn averages 24.1 points per game, ranking 93rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.8 points per game, which is 94th. Auburn averages 368.4 total yards per game (215.8 passing and 152.6 rushing), while allowing 408.1 total yards per game (155.8 rushing and 252.4 passing). They average 69.9 plays per game and 5.3 yards per play on offense, while allowing 75.5 plays per game and 5.4 yards per play on defense. Auburn averages 21.5 first downs per game on offense and 23.3 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.4 times per game and are forcing 1.5 turnovers per game.
Byrum Brown leads Auburn with 1,560 passing yards with 64.4% completed passes and 9 touchdowns, and he leads the team in rushing yards with 484. Keshaun Singleton has a team-high 433 receiving yards and 39 receptions. Defensively, Elijah Melendez has a team-high 63 total tackles (43 of them solo) and leads the team with 4.0 sacks.
Arkansas Razorbacks Preview
Arkansas has a 3-5 record and a 1-4 record in the SEC. They are coming off a 34-10 home win against Missouri and will face South Carolina and Texas next.
Offensively, Arkansas averages 19.6 points per game, ranking 125th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.6 points per game, which is 101st. Arkansas averages 336.1 total yards per game (231.1 passing and 105.0 rushing), while allowing 361.8 total yards per game (153.0 rushing and 208.8 passing). They average 68.9 plays per game and 4.9 yards per play on offense, while allowing 60.3 plays per game and 6.0 yards per play on defense. Arkansas averages 20.4 first downs per game on offense and 18.9 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.5 times per game and are forcing 1.3 turnovers per game.
KJ Jackson leads Arkansas with 1,673 passing yards with 60.6% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Sutton Smith leads the team in rushing yards with 217, while Chris Marshall has a team-high 633 receiving yards and 43 receptions. Defensively, Jaquavion Smith has a team-high 53 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Quincy Rhodes Jr. leads the team with 3.0 sacks.
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Auburn Tigers Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Arkansas has lost 18 of its last 19 games as an underdog against teams from Alabama.
- Auburn has won nine of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has covered the spread in six of its last eight games as a favorite against Arkansas.
- Arkansas has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games as an underdog in Alabama.
Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win
- The underdog has won each of the last three games between Arkansas and Auburn.
- Auburn has lost six of its last seven games against conference opponents at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against conference opponents at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
- The road team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between Arkansas and Auburn.
- Auburn has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Auburn’s last seven games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Arkansas’ last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Keshaun Singleton leads Auburn for receptions (39) this season.
Arkansas Razorbacks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, KJ Jackson leads Arkansas for touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Auburn ranks 132nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:54).
- Auburn ranks T128th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (186).
- Arkansas ranks 131st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (105.0).
- Arkansas ranks 125th among FBS teams for points per game this season (19.6).