The Air Force Falcons and the Army Black Knights meet in week 10 college football action from Michie Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game.
Air Force Falcons vs. Army Black Knights Prediction
I’m on Army here. I just think between two option offenses, that Army has the quarterback play better suited to run this offense. I much prefer backing Air Force with Liam Szarka running the offense, but without Szarka, it makes it hard to feel good about Air Force in my opinion. Give me Army here.
Air Force Falcons Recap
The Air Force Falcons come into this game looking to add on to their 35-26 win over UConn last time out to sit at 6-2 this season. After this game, the Falcons will head home for a game against San Jose State. Liam Szarka has thrown for 296 yards, 1 touchdown, and 4 interceptions while completing 50.0% of his passes to lead the Air Force passing attack, backed by 19 completions on 38 attempts, with Evan Medders providing supplemental support via 92 passing yards and 2 scores on 8 completions, and Howard Fisher IV adding 36 passing yards on 3 completions. The Falcons’ ground game is spearheaded by Evan Medders, who rushes for 490 yards and 6 touchdowns on 73 carries, followed closely by Owen Allen with 446 yards and 3 scores on 106 carries, Kemper Hodges adding 401 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns on 71 attempts, Rocco Conti chipping in 394 yards and 2 scores on 62 carries, and Liam Szarka adding 391 yards and 7 scores on 92 rushing attempts. Through the air, Simon Kibbee leads the receiving corps with 135 yards on receptions. Defensively, Blake Fletcher anchors the Air Force squad by logging a team-high 79 total tackles. Altogether, the Falcons’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 12 sacks, 78 yards lost, and 23 pass deflections while also coming away with 5 total interceptions.
Why the Air Force Falcons will win
- Air Force has won five of its last six games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 games between Air Force and Army.
- Army has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games as a home favorite.
- Air Force has won the first quarter in six of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
- Air Force has won the first half in four of its last five road games in November.
Army Black Knights Recap
The Army Black Knights come into this game looking to bounce back from their 49-22 loss at the hands of Memphis last time out to sit at 5-3 this season. After this game, the Black Knights will take on East Carolina in a matchup at home. Cale Hellums has thrown for 462 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions while completing 56.6% of his passes to lead the Army passing attack, backed by 43 completions on 76 attempts, with Zach Mundell providing supplemental support via 82 passing yards on 2 completions, and Ethan Washington adding 13 passing yards on 2 completions. The Black Knights’ ground game is spearheaded by Cale Hellums, who rushes for 874 yards and 17 touchdowns on 172 carries, followed closely by Godspower Nwauuihe with 455 yards and 4 scores on 79 carries, Samari Howard adding 384 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 44 attempts, Zach Mundell chipping in 267 yards and 3 scores on 15 carries, and Jake Rendina adding 193 yards and 1 score on 34 rushing attempts. Through the air, Brady Anderson leads the receiving corps with 163 yards on 3 receptions. Defensively, Elijah Walton anchors the Army squad by logging a team-high 55 total tackles. Altogether, the Black Knights’ defensive unit has successfully combined to bring down opposing quarterbacks for 4 sacks, 16 yards lost, and zero pass deflections while also coming away with 3 total interceptions.
Why the Army Black Knights will win
- Army has won 16 of its last 17 November games at Michie Stadium.
- Air Force has lost each of its last four road games against non-conference opponents.
- Army has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against Air Force.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog.
- Army has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
- Army has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 November games as a favorite.