The Alabama Crimson Tide and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in college football action at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Here’s a Auburn vs Alabama Prediction. This article will include a Auburn vs Alabama Pick.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide lost to Oklahoma, beat Eastern Illinois. Alabama has won 9 of its last 10 games. Ty Simpson is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 2,934 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Germie Bernard and Ryan Williams have combined for 1,274 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Isaiah Horton has 29 receptions.
The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 135.6 yards per contest, and Jam Miller leads the way with 410 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 17.8 points and 297.5 yards per game. Justin Jefferson leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 58 tackles, Yhonzae Pierre has 6 sacks and Bray Hubbard has 3 interceptions.
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers lost to Vanderbilt and beat Mercer. Auburn has lost 6 of its last 8 games. Jackson Arnold is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 1,309 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Cam Coleman and Eric Singleton Jr. have combined for 1,190 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Malcolm Simmons has 22 receptions.
The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 197 yards per contest, and Jeremiah Cobb leads the way with 936 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 22.1 points and 367 yards per game. Xavier Atkins leads the Auburn Tigers with 81 tackles, Keyron Crawford has 5 sacks and Elijah Melendez has 2 interceptions.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Auburn has won nine of its last 11 home games against teams from Alabama.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last eight games between Alabama and Auburn.
- Alabama has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
- Auburn has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won 40 of its last 42 games in Alabama.
- Auburn has lost 20 of its last 21 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Alabama has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games in Alabama.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
- Alabama has won the first quarter in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- Alabama has won the first half in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Alabama’s last five games in Alabama have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Auburn’s last seven games in Alabama have gone UNDER the total points line.
Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Xavier Atkins is one of only four players in the FBS to record 7+ sacks and an interception this season.
Alabama Crimson Tide Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 14, Ty Simpson is one of only five players in the league to record two or more passing touchdowns in seven consecutive appearances this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Auburn ranks 11th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (94.0).
- Auburn ranks T19th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (3.0).
- Alabama has won the second quarter in each of its last 10 games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Alabama ranks 5th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (149.1).
Auburn vs Alabama Prediction
It’s a rivalry game, and there’s more motivation for Auburn, as it not only can play spoiler and prevent Alabama from making the playoffs, but the Tigers become bowl eligible with a victory. Unfortunately, none of that is enough for me to back Auburn. The Auburn Tigers are extremely limited offensively and while the defense has been solid, they’re not great against the pass.
Alabama brings in a top-10 passing offense and is far more balanced overall. Alabama is just the better team across the board. Also, Auburn is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games and is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog. You can argue Alabama should be a bigger favorite. Give me the Tide by a touchdown.