The Florida Gators and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Here’s an Auburn vs. Florida Prediction. This article will include an Auburn vs. Florida Pick.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators beat FAU and Campbell, and they play Ole Miss next. The Florida Gators haven’t started 3-0 since the 2019 season. Aaron Philo is completing 76.2 percent of his passes for 517 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Vernell Brown III and Dallas Wilson have combined for 311 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while TJ Abrams has 4 receptions.
The Florida Gators’ ground game is averaging 247.5 yards per contest, and Jadan Baugh leads the way with 296 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 12 points and 303 yards per game. Myles Graham leads the Florida Gators with 16 tackles, LJ McCray has 1 sack, and Dijon Johnson has 1 interception.
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers beat Baylor and Southern Miss, and they play Vanderbilt next. Auburn has lost 7 of its last 11 games. Byrum Brown is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 485 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Keshaun Singleton and Jeremiah Koger have combined for 254 receiving yards on 17 catches, while Chas Nimrod has 11 receptions.
The Auburn Tigers’ ground game is averaging 236.5 yards per contest, and Jeremiah Cobb leads the way with 138 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 12 points and 328.5 yards per game. Kaleb Harris leads the Auburn Tigers with 23 tackles, Xavier Atkins has 1 sack, and Andre Jordan Jr. has 2 interceptions.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Auburn has won each of its last three games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has lost each of its last five road games.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 games in September.
- Auburn has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has won the first quarter in four of its last five games as an underdog.
- Auburn has won the first half in each of its last four September games at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won 17 of its last 18 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has lost eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
- Florida has covered the spread in three of its last four games as a road favorite.
- Florida has won the first quarter in 10 of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last 15 September games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last seven September road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Auburn’s last six games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Andre Jordan Jr. ranks T5th amongst FBS players for interceptions (2) this season.
Florida Gators Player Prop Facts
- Jadan Baugh has recorded 100+ rushing yards in three consecutive games- the longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 3.
Matchup/League Facts
- Auburn ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Auburn ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Florida ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (28.0).
- Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Auburn vs Florida Prediction
I’m intrigued by how the Gators look, but let’s relax a bit. They played FAU and Campbell. This will be a real test on the road in SEC country. Florida still has a new coaching staff, a questionable offensive line, and a quarterback who will play just the second road game in his career. Auburn has offensive concerns, but it’s still above average defensively and has been tested already with a game against Baylor. I wouldn’t be surprised if Florida wins, but it feels like the value is with Auburn and the points. I’ll grab them in this conference showdown.