The Kentucky Wildcats and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in college football action at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Here’s a Auburn vs Kentucky Prediction. This article will include a Auburn vs Kentucky Pick.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats lost to Texas and Tennessee, and they play Florida next. Kentucky has lost 4 straight games. Cutter Boley is completing 66.5 percent of his passes for 1,215 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Kendrick Law and Willie Rodriguez have combined for 503 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Josh Kattus has 12 receptions.
The Kentucky Wildcats ground game is averaging 154.3 yards per contest, and Seth McGowan leads the way with 476 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Kentucky is allowing 30.1 points and 384.9 yards per game. Alex Afari Jr. leads the Kentucky Wildcats with 43 tackles, Steven Soles Jr. has 3 sacks and Ty Bryant has 2 interceptions.
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers lost to Missouri, beat Arkansas, and they play Vanderbilt next. Auburn has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Jackson Arnold is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 1,263 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Eric Singleton Jr. and Cam Coleman have combined for 807 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Malcolm Simmons has 15 receptions.
The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 162.1 yards per contest, and Jeremiah Cobb leads the way with 717 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 17.9 points and 316.7 yards per game. Xavier Atkins leads the Auburn Tigers with 61 tackles, Keyon Crawford has 5 sacks and Rayshawn Pleasant has 2 interceptions.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Kentucky has lost each of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has won each of Kentucky’s last 11 games.
- Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has covered the spread in each of its last four games against teams from Kentucky.
- Kentucky has lost the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Auburn has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won three of its last four November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Auburn has lost six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of Auburn’s last eight games.
- Auburn has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games in Alabama.
- Auburn has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Auburn’s last five games in Alabama have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Kentucky’s last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Auburn Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Xavier Atkins is the only player in the FBS to record 7+ sacks and an interception this season.
Kentucky Wildcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Seth McGowan leads Kentucky for touchdowns (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Auburn ranks 5th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (84.1).
- Auburn ranks T16th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.4).
- Kentucky ranks 129th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (11.6).
- Kentucky ranks 129th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-5.3).
Auburn vs Kentucky Prediction
I wanted to take the points with Kentucky because neither of these teams are playing well, and the Wildcats have covered 5 of their last 6 games as a double-digit underdog. However, Auburn’s defense is head and shoulders the best unit between these teams. I’m not sure how a Kentucky offense that’s ranked 90th in total offense and 95th in scoring is going to have success. We also need to show Auburn some grace as all 4 of its losses have come against highly ranked, playoff caliber teams. This may be an ugly, low scoring game, but I’ll lay the chalk with Auburn at home.