In this article, we will formulate a Ball State vs Toledo Prediction for this College Football Week 13 game on Saturday, November 22nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Toledo Rockets Preview
Toledo has a 6-4 record this season and is sitting 4th in the MAC. They are 7-3 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 1-4 away record. Toledo is coming off a 24-3 road win against Miami (OH) and will face Central Michigan next.
Offensively, Toledo averages 32.0 points per game, ranking 42nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 13.4 points per game, which is 5th. Toledo averages 424.7 total yards per game (250.4 passing and 174.3 rushing), while allowing 231.5 total yards per game (88.5 rushing and 143.0 passing).
Tucker Gleason leads Toledo with 2,199 passing yards with 65.6% completed passes and 16 touchdowns. Deamonte Trayanum leads the team in rushing yards with 728, while Junior Vandeross III has a team-high 64 receptions for 749 receiving yards. Defensively, K’Von Sherman has a team-high 71 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Malachi Davis leads the team in sacks, with 5, and Emmanuel McNeil-Warren has a team-high 5 interceptions.
Ball State Cardinals Preview
Ball State has a 4-6 record this season and is sitting 7th in the MAC. They are 6-4 ATS, 3-7 in Over/Under and have a 4-1 home record and a 0-5 away record. Ball State is coming off a 24-9 home loss against Eastern Michigan and will face Miami (OH) next.
Offensively, Ball State averages 15.7 points per game, ranking 132nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.5 points per game, which is 88th. Ball State averages 264.5 total yards per game (127.3 passing and 137.2 rushing), while allowing 400.6 total yards per game (172.8 rushing and 227.8 passing).
Kiael Kelly leads Ball State with 1,217 passing yards with 57.5% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Qua Ashley leads the team in rushing yards with 525, while Eric Weatherly has a team-high 25 receptions for 162 receiving yards. Defensively, Alfred Chea has a team-high 52 total tackles (28 of them solo), while Nathan Voorhis leads the team in sacks, with 11, and Joedrick Lewis has a team-high 3 interceptions.
Ball State Cardinals @ Toledo Rockets Betting Trends: Week 13
Why the Toledo Rockets will win
- Ball State has lost each of its last eight road games.
- The home team has won 10 of Ball State’s last 11 games.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of Toledo’s last nine games.
- Ball State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- Toledo has won the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
Why the Ball State Cardinals will win
- Ball State has won each of its last three games against teams from Ohio.
- Ball State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games as a road underdog.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Ball State’s last 10 games as an underdog against Toledo have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Toledo’s last five games as a favorite against Ball State have gone UNDER the total points line.
Toledo Rockets Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Braden Awls ranks T1st amongst FBS players for interceptions (5) this season.
Ball State Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Nathan Voorhis ranks 3rd amongst FBS players for sacks (11.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Toledo has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 35+ points of any FBS team this season (4).
- Toledo ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.6).
- Ball State has scored fewer than five points in three road games this season – most of any FBS team.
- Ball State ranks 134th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (264.5).
Ball State vs Toledo Prediction
In this Ball State vs Toledo Prediction, Toledo is coming as -27-point home favorites, with the total set at 47.5 points. Toledo has been the better team this season with more overall wins and has been undefeated in its 5 home games played. They boast the 5th-best defense in the country and are going up against Ball State’s 5th-worst offense, so I expect them to dominate this game. Take Toledo and lay the big number at home.