The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and the Baylor Bears meet in week 3 college football action from McLane Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Baylor Bears Prediction.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Recap
The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 44-3 win over Prairie View A&M last time out to improve to 1-1 this season. After this game, Louisiana Tech will head home for a game against Army.
Bulldogs Looking To Rebound From Blowout Loss
Blake Baker has thrown for 360 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception on 60.0% passing while Trey Kukuk leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 52 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Andrew Burnette has 50 rushing yards and 0 TDs while Jalen Mickens leads Louisiana Tech in receiving with 234 receiving yards and 9 catches to lead Louisiana Tech along with 2 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Alonzo Jackson Jr. has a team-high 16 total tackles in addition to 3 sacks while Louisiana Tech’s defense as a whole has combined for 7 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.
Baylor Bears Recap
The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to add on to their 44-3 win over Prairie View A&M last time out to climb to 1-1 on the year. After this game, Baylor will head home for a game against Colorado.
Bears Looking To Build On First W
DJ Lagway has thrown for 333 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception on 50.0% passing while Dawson Pendergrass leads the Bears in rushing with 157 rushing yards and 0 touchdowns so far this season. Caden Knighten has 99 rushing yards and a TD while Gavin Freeman leads Baylor in receiving with 258 receiving yards and 22 catches to lead Baylor along with 1 touchdown as well this season. On defense, Travion Barnes has a team-high 13 total tackles in addition to 0 sacks while Baylor’s defense as a whole has combined for 9 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: Week 3
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Louisiana Tech has lost each of its last 10 September games as an underdog.
- Baylor has won 11 of its last 13 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana Tech has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog in Texas.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Baylor’s last eight games.
- Baylor has won the first half in 14 of its last 16 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Baylor has won the first quarter in five of its last six home games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs will win
- Louisiana Tech has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Baylor has lost four of its last five games.
- Louisiana Tech has covered the spread in each of its last six games in September.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five September games as a favorite.
- Louisiana Tech has won the first quarter in each of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisiana Tech has won the first half in each of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Baylor’s last eight home games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Louisiana Tech’s last five games against opponents from the Big 12 Conference have gone OVER the total points line.
Baylor Bears Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Gavin Freeman ranks 1st amongst FBS players for receptions (22) this season.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 3, Alonzo Jackson Jr. ranks T5th amongst FBS players for sacks (3.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Baylor ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- One of Baylor’s two games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
- Louisiana Tech ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Louisiana Tech ranks 2nd among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+24.5).
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Baylor Bears Prediction
I’m leaning towards Baylor here. I just think that with all the QB uncertainty in this matchup on the injury report, Baylor is still the better team and I don’t trust LA Tech’s QB depth against this Baylor defense. I just don’t love this spot for the Bulldogs as I see Baylor winning this one somewhere in the ballpark of 41-17. Give me Baylor here.