Bowling Green vs Ohio Prediction Football Picks 9-23-23

The Ohio Bobcats and the Bowling Green Falcons meet in week 4 college football MAC-tion from Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Ohio Beats Iowa State

The Ohio Bobcats got their record up to 3-1 on the year with a 10-7 upset win over Iowa State last time out even though I’m personally hard-pressed to actually call it an upset. Kurtis Rourke has thrown for 413 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 59.2% passing while Sieh Bangura has a team-high 261 rushing yards and O’Shaan Allison has 170 rushing yards as well on the year. Sam Wiglusz has a team-high 178 receiving yards while Tyler Walton has 163 receiving yards as well. On defense, Bryce Houston leads Ohio with 43 total tackles including a sack and an interception while Austin Brawley has a pair of interceptions for Ohio’s defense this season. As a unit, Ohio has 8 sacks and 6 interceptions this season.


Ohio Bobcats Team Facts

Ohio has won seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Ohio has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
Ohio has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
Seven of Ohio’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Bowling Green Falls To Michigan

The Bowling Green Falcons dropped to 1-2 on the year after a 31-6 loss to the Michigan Wolverines in their last matchup. Connor Bazelak has thrown for 390 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 59.2% passing while Terion Stewart has a team-high 108 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Harold Fannin Jr. has a team-high 11 catches for 144 receiving yards while another trio of Bowling Green receivers after Fannin Jr. have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Joseph Sipp Jr. has a team-high 24 total tackles while Jalen Huskey has a pair of interceptions this season. Bowling Green’s defense as a whole has 8 sacks and 4 interceptions this season.

Bowling Green Falcons Team Facts

Bowling Green has lost 21 of its last 26 games in September.
The favorite has covered the spread in five of the last six games between Ohio and Bowling Green.
Bowling Green has lost the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
Each of Bowling Green’s last six September games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Bowling Green recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team last season (3).
Ohio was one of only five FBS teams to win 4+ games when trailing after Q1 last season.
Ohio was one of only 11 FBS teams to remain undefeated in home games last season (6-0) (min. 8 games).

Chris’ Pick

I’m sticking with Ohio here. I get that it’s a big number for a road favorite in conference play, but I’m not high at all on this Bowling Green team. Ohio’s wins the last couple of weeks haven’t been pretty as it’s been defense first, but I think this is a spot where Ohio’s offense opens it up a bit and the defense, which has been Ohio’s strength to this point by a mile, shuts down Bowling Green and gets a win by 14+ points here. Give me Ohio laying the points.

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