Cal vs Oregon State Prediction Football Picks 10-7-23
California Golden Bears (3-2) vs Oregon State Beavers (4-1)
2023-10-07 22:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: California Golden Bears +9.5 -- Over/Under: 52.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oregon State Beavers and Cal Golden Bears meet Saturday in week 6 college football action at California Memorial Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
The Oregon State Beavers look for their second road win to improve to 5-1 on the season. Oregon State has won 4 of its last 7 road games. DJ Uiagalelei is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,032 yards, 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Silas Bolden and Anthony Gould have combined for 574 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jack Velling has 9 receptions. The Oregon State Beavers ground game is averaging 206.8 yards per contest, and Damien Martinez leads the way with 497 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon State is allowing 15.6 points and 301.8 yards per game. Easton Mascarenas-Arnold leads the Oregon State Beavers with 42 tackles, Andrew Chatfield Jr. has 3 sacks and Akili Arnold has 1 interception.
Oregon State Beavers Team Facts
- Oregon State has won each of its last 11 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has lost the first half in 31 of its last 39 road games against conference opponents.
- Oregon State has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
- Five of Oregon State’s last six games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Cal Golden Bears Betting Preview
The Cal Golden Bears look for their third home win to improve to 4-2 on the season. Cal has won 6 of its last 10 home games. Sam Jackson V is completing 53.1 percent of his passes for 556 yards, 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jeremiah Hunter and Trond Grizzell have combined for 498 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Taj Davis has 13 receptions. The Cal Golden Bears ground game is averaging 212.2 yards per contest, and Jaydn Ott leads the way with 471 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Cal is allowing 26.4 points and 360.2 yards per game. Kaleb Elarms-Orr leads the Cal Golden Bears with 44 tackles, Xavier Carlton has 2 sacks and Nohl Williams has 2 interceptions.
California Golden Bears Team Facts
- The favorite has won each of California’s last 11 games.
- California has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a home underdog.
- California has lost the first half in nine of its last 11 games against conference opponents.
- Eight of California’s last nine October games against AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- California was one of only 27 FBS teams to lose 2+ games when leading after Q3 last season.
- California ranked 28th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game last season (8.8).
- Oregon State was one of only six FBS teams to win 3+ games when trailing after Q3 last season.
- Oregon State ranked T7th among FBS teams for H1 win percentage last season (.769).
Randy’s Pick
The Cal Golden Bears haven’t looked great in their two biggest games against Auburn and Washington. Cal still has issues throwing the football and is also 112th in pass defense. The Oregon State Beavers are coming off a dominating win over Utah and does a good job of controlling the trenches. Oregon State is 16th in rush offense and fifth in rush defense. Even at home, I have a hard time seeing Cal imposing its will in this contest. Give me Oregon State in a double-digit victory.