Cincinnati vs Houston Prediction
In this Cincinnati vs Houston prediction, Houston is coming as -11.5 home favorites. Houston has a slightly better record and has been undefeated at home this season. It has been in very good shape lately, having lost only once in its last five games and are better than Cincinnati both on the offensive and the defensive end, being almost a top-40 team in the entire country in both categories, with a +15 point differential. They will face a struggling Cincinnati squad that is 1-3 both straight up and against the spread in its last 4 games and has allowed 45+ points in two of its last three games, while having lost and failed to cover both of its road games this season. The value here lies with the home team, so take Houston and lay the -11.5 in this one.
Houston Cougars Preview
Houston has a 6-2 record and a 3-2 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 13-21 road loss against Utah and will face Colorado and West Virginia next.
Offensively, Houston averages 36 points per game, ranking 20th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21 points per game, which is 41st. Houston averages 470.5 total yards per game (267.0 passing and 203.5 rushing), while allowing 357.9 total yards per game (100.5 rushing and 257.4 passing). They average 70.4 plays per game and 6.7 yards per play on offense, while allowing 59.8 plays per game and 6.0 yards per play on defense. Houston averages 25.6 first downs per game on offense and 18.6 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.8 times per game and are forcing 1.5 turnovers per game.
Conner Weigman leads Houston with 2,053 passing yards with 65.7% completed passes and 20 touchdowns, and he leads the team in rushing yards with 249. Amare Thomas has a team-high 620 receiving yards and 41 receptions. Defensively, Kentrell Webb has a team-high 46 total tackles (36 of them solo), while Ashton Porter leads the team with 3.0 sacks.
Cincinnati Bearcats Preview
Cincinnati has a 5-3 record and a 2-3 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 25-49 home loss against Utah and will face Iowa State and Colorado next .
Offensively, Cincinnati averages 34.1 points per game, ranking 31st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.2 points per game, which is 107th. Cincinnati averages 455.4 total yards per game (226.0 passing and 229.4 rushing), while allowing 442.5 total yards per game (160.4 rushing and 282.1 passing). They average 65.9 plays per game and 6.9 yards per play on offense, while allowing 71.5 plays per game and 6.2 yards per play on defense. Cincinnati averages 21.1 first downs per game on offense and 23.5 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.8 times per game and are forcing 1.5 turnovers per game.
JC French leads Cincinnati with 1,773 passing yards with 67.1% completed passes and 13 touchdowns, and he leads the team in rushing yards with 289. Javonnie Gibson has a team-high 461 receiving yards and 34 receptions. Defensively, Jonathan Thompson has a team-high 63 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Patrick Bauer leads the team with 3.5 sacks.
Cincinnati Bearcats @ Houston Cougars Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the Houston Cougars will win
- Cincinnati has lost 12 of its last 13 games in November.
- Houston has won eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight November games as an underdog.
- The team ranked 17th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
- Cincinnati has lost the first half in seven of its last eight November games as an underdog.
Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win
- Houston has lost each of its last three November games as a home favorite.
- Houston has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games in November.
- Cincinnati has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against Houston.
- Houston has lost the first half in seven of its last nine games in November.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Houston’s last 10 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Cincinnati’s last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Houston Cougars Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Conner Weigman ranks T8th amongst FBS players for passing touchdowns (20) this season.
Cincinnati Bearcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Cole Tabb leads the league for yards per carry (9.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Houston ranks 5th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (6.4).
- Houston ranks 9th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:07).
- Cincinnati ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (20.9).
- Cincinnati ranks 134th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (282.1).