Colorado State vs Boise State Prediction
Boise State comes into this matchup with an undefeated conference record, but they barely survived against Texas State last week. The Broncos have scored at least 31 points in five straight games, but they have allowed 31 and 45 in two of their last three. Colorado State is just 1-3 in PAC-12 play, but they did win their last home game. The Rams have one of the worst defenses in the nation, as they have allowed 49+ points in four of their last five. Take Boise State to cover here.
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
The Colorado State Rams are 3-5 (1-3) this season after they lost to Utah State by a score of 31-14 in their last game. Colorado State trailed 17-0 at halftime and 24-0 in the third quarter, but they scored 14 points in the last 16 minutes to avoid the shutout. The Rams were out gained by a total of 464-263, went 4-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Hauss Hejny threw for 186 yards and one touchdown, while Terrence Smith Jr caught five passes for 70 yards. Durell Robinson rushed 16 times for 66 yards and one touchdown in the loss.
Prior to that game, Colorado State defeated San Diego State by a score of 56-49, but lost to Texas State by a score of 66-27 before that. The Rams have scored 35.5 points per game with 270.9 passing yards and 164.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 42.4 points against per game this season. Hauss Hejny has thrown for 1,138 yards with 14 touchdowns and two interceptions, while RJ Vick has 29 receptions for 425 yards and four scores. Mel Brown is the leading rusher with 454 yards and three touchdowns this season.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos are 7-1 (4-0) this year after they defeated Texas State by a score of 46-45 in their last game. Boise State led 28-3 at halftime, but they trailed 39-28 in the second half, before rallying for the win. The Broncos out gained Texas State by a total of 484-429, went 9-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Maddux Madsen threw for 236 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Max Cutforth threw for 131 yards and three touchdowns. Rasean Jones caught nine passes for 117 yards and three scores, while Dylan Riley rushed 25 times for 86 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Boise State defeated Washington State by a score of 31-10 and Fresno State by a score of 38-31. The Broncos have scored 35.9 points per game with 226.5 passing yards and 222.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.6 points against per game this season. Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,681 yards with 15 touchdowns and one interception, while Rasean Jones has 38 receptions for 554 yards and four scores. Dylan Riley has rushed 165 times for 1,049 yards and nine touchdowns this year.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last 11 November games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Colorado State has lost each of its last 12 November games as an underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Colorado State’s last seven games at Canvas Stadium.
- Colorado State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Colorado State has lost the first half in each of its last seven November games as an underdog.
- Boise State has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Colorado State’s last six home games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Boise State’s last five games against teams from Colorado have gone OVER the total points line.
Colorado State Rams Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Mel Brown ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (8.7) this season.
Boise State Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Dylan Riley ranks 2nd amongst FBS players for rushing yards (1049) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Colorado State ranks 138th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (42.4).
- Colorado State ranks 138th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (13.9).
- Boise State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (35:48).
- Boise State is one of four FBS teams to score 25+ points in every game this season.
Positive Trends
When looking at the trends, I like Boise State to cover here. This is more of a fade of Colorado State than anything, as they have been pretty bad this year. The Rams have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six conference games and like I said before, they have one of the worst defenses in the country. Take Boise State here.