Duke vs Boston College Prediction
Duke is the more talented team, but I’m grabbing the free touchdown with Boston College in this CFB prediction. Boston College has covered four straight games, which includes outright wins over Georgia Tech and Pitt. The Eagles have shown more life offensively and compete defensively despite doing nothing at a high level on that side of the ball. We can’t ignore Duke getting ripped up by UNC and Georgia Tech a few weeks ago.
Boston College is heading in the right direction while Duke has been shaky at best this month. We’re getting a hook on top of a key number as well, which is always nice. This feels like an ugly, sluggish ACC matchup that’s decided in the fourth quarter. I’ll side with Boston College and the points on Saturday afternoon.
Boston College Eagles Betting Preview
The Boston College Eagles beat Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech, and they play Florida State next. Boston College has lost 13 of its last 18 games. Mason McKenzie is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for 1,363 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Johnathan Montague Jr. and Javarius Green have combined for 499 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Landon Wright has 8 receptions.
The Boston College Eagles’ ground game is averaging 181 yards per contest, and Mason McKenzie leads the way with 614 yards and 5 touchdowns. On defense, Boston College allows 23.6 points and 333.4 yards per game. Anthony Palano leads the Boston College Eagles with 60 tackles, E’Lla Boykin has 4.5 sacks, and Charlie Comella has 4 interceptions.
Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
The Duke Blue Devils lost to North Carolina, beat Virginia, and they play NC State next. Duke has won 5 of its last 7 games. Walker Eget is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 1,440 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jonah Burton and Nate Sheppard have combined for 568 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jeremiah Hasley has 21 receptions.
The Duke Blue Devils ground game is averaging 189.7 yards per contest, and Nate Sheppard leads the way with 875 yards and 9 touchdowns. Defensively, Duke is allowing 16 points and 301.3 yards per game. Nick Morris Jr. leads the Duke Blue Devils with 44 tackles, Kevin O’Connor has 4 sacks, and Evan Smith has 1 interception.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won 18 of its last 19 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium.
- Boston College has lost 15 of its last 18 road games in October.
- Duke has covered the spread in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium.
- Boston College has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Boston College has lost the first half in each of its last five games as a road underdog.
Why the Boston College Eagles will win
- The underdog has won each of Duke’s last three games.
- Duke has lost each of its last three October games as a favorite.
- Boston College has covered the spread in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Duke has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three October games as a favorite.
- Duke has lost the first half in each of its last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Duke’s last four October games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Boston College’s last five games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
Duke Blue Devils Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Walker Eget ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.0%) this season.
Boston College Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Charlie Comella ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Duke ranks 1st among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (4.3).
- Duke ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (2.9).
- Boston College ranks T134th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.0).
- Boston College ranks 134th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (66.7).