FAU vs UTSA Prediction
UTSA comes into this matchup undefeated in conference play and they are starting to look at the possibility of making the CFP. The Roadrunners don’t play much defense, but they have an elite offense that has scored at least 31 points in four of their last five games. FAU has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 48+ points in three straight. The Owls are another team that scores a ton of points, but they have one of the worst defenses in the country. This should be a very entertaining game, but in a game with all offense and no defense, I will take the points with FAU at home.
FAU Owls Betting Preview
The FAU Owls are 5-3 (2-2) this season after they lost to North Texas by a score of 48-41 in their last game. FAU was tied 24-24 at halftime and they allowed 24 more points in the second half for the loss. The Owls were out gained by a total of 644-523, went 10-18 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Caden Veltkamp threw for 452 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception, while Easton Messer caught 16 passes for 189 yards and three scores. Leonard Farrow rushed 14 times for 47 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, FAU defeated Rice by a score of 51-49, but lost to Army by a score of 56-24 before that. The Owls have scored 37.8 points per game with 329.6 passing yards and 110.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 35.8 points against per game this season. Caden Veltkamp has thrown for 2,536 yards with 23 touchdowns and five interceptions, while Easton Messer has 74 receptions for 898 yards and nine scores. Ethan Ervin has rushed 91 times for 369 yards and two touchdowns this season.
UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview
The UTSA Roadrunners are 7-1 (4-0) this year after they defeated Tulane by a score of 42-19 in their last game. UTSA led 21-13 at halftime and they scored 21 points in the second half for the lopsided win. The Roadrunners out gained Tulane by a total of 396-332, went 12-16 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 6-3 in the game. Owen McCown threw for 173 yards and two interceptions, while David Amador II caught five passes for 47 yards. Will Henderson III rushed 15 times for 102 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, UTSA defeated Navy by a score of 38-34 and South Florida by a score of 31-24. The Roadrunners have scored 33.5 points per game with 224.4 passing yards and 184.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 26.0 points against per game this season. Owen McCown has thrown for 1,751 yards with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions, while DJ Allen Jr has 25 catches for 347 yards and two scores. Will Henderson III is the leading rusher with 664 yards and five touchdowns this year.
Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win
- The home team has won seven of Florida Atlantic’s last eight games.
- UTSA has lost three of its last four road games in November.
- UTSA has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 road games against conference opponents.
- Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in nine of its last 12 games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
- Florida Atlantic has won the first quarter in each of its last three games as an underdog against teams from Texas.
- Florida Atlantic has won the first half in each of its last four home games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Florida Atlantic’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of UTSA’s last eight games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Florida Atlantic Owls Player Prop Facts
- Easton Messer has recorded 100+ receiving yards in three consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 10.
UTSA Roadrunners Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, A’Marion Peterson leads UTSA for touchdowns (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida Atlantic ranks 137th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (256.0).
- Florida Atlantic ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (25.0).
- UTSA ranks T15th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (9.6).
- UTSA ranks T120th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (7.4).
Positive Trends
When looking at the trends, I continue to like FAU to cover here. The Owls have been starting games fast in the first quarter and the first half, which is critical when being the underdog. UTSA has struggled on the road in November over the last two seasons and they are 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 conference games on the road. Take FAU to cover at home in this one.