In this article we will formulate a Florida vs Ole Miss prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 26th at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators are 3-0 (1-0) this year after they defeated Auburn by a score of 44-39 last week. Florida led 20-17 at halftime and 41-24 in the fourth, but they did allow 15 points in the last quarter in the close win. The Gators out gained Auburn by a total of 495-373, went 7-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Aaron Philo threw for 204 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Vernell Brown III caught five passes for 86 yards. Jadan Baugh rushed 26 times for 162 yards and three scores in the win.
Prior to that game, Florida defeated Campbell by a score of 52-3 and FAU by a score of 66-21. The Gators have scored 54.0 points per game with 298.3 passing yards and 246.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.0 points against per game this season. Aaron Philo has thrown for 721 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions this year.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
The Ole Miss Rebels are 3-0 (1-0) this season after they defeated LSU by a score of 32-24 in their last game. Ole Miss led 24-7 at halftime, but they needed a touchdown with about six minutes left and a late stop to get the win. The Rebels out gained LSU by a total of 426-330, went 9-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Trinidad Chambliss threw for 363 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Traylon Ray caught seven passes for 115 yards and one score. Kewan Lacy rushed nine times for 43 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Ole Miss defeated Charlotte by a score of 41-9 and Louisville by a score of 41-38. The Rebels have scored 38.0 points per game with 330.7 passing yards and 114.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.7 points against per game this season. Trinidad Chambliss has thrown for 924 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions this season.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won four of its last five games against top-15 AP-ranked teams at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
- Ole Miss has lost each of its last three games as a top-5 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Florida has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against top-10 AP-ranked teams at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
- The team ranked 4th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last 16 September games as a favorite.
- Florida has won the first quarter in each of its last four games.
Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win
- Florida has lost each of its last 12 games against top-5 AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has won each of its last seven games in September.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight September games as a home favorite.
- Ole Miss has covered the spread in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Ole Miss has won the first half in 31 of its last 33 September games as an AP-ranked team.
- Ole Miss has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Florida’s last nine games as a favorite in Florida have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Ole Miss’ last five games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Florida Gators Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Jadan Baugh ranks T1st amongst FBS players for touchdowns (8) this season.
Ole Miss Rebels Player Prop Facts
- Trinidad Chambliss has recorded a 130.0+ passer rating in nine consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (23.0).
- Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Ole Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Ole Miss ranks 135th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (12.7).
Florida vs Ole Miss Prediction
Ole Miss picked up a huge win over LSU last week in Lane Kiffin’s return, but they need to make sure they stay focused heading into this one. The Rebels have an elite quarterback, but their defense isn’t great. Florida got a road win over Auburn in their last game, but they allowed 39 points in the win. The Gators have the home field advantage and Baugh is a fantastic running back, but I have to back Ole Miss here. I think Chambliss is a huge advantage over Philo, so give me the Rebels to cover.