The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college football action from Valley Children’s Stadium. Here’s a Fresno State vs Hawaii prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Fresno State vs Hawaii pick.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
Hawaii got off to a 2-2 start this year, beating Delaware State and Northern Iowa around losses to UCLA and Sam Houston. The Warriors would hit the skids after that, falling to San Diego State, Boise State, and Washington State in the next three outings.
Last weekend versus Nevada, the Warriors were up 17-0 by halftime and ultimately powered out the win 34-13. Brayden Schager threw for 153 yards and an interception, but did most of the work on the ground with 19 carries for 120 yards and four scores.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
Over on the Fresno State side, they lost to Michigan in their opener then rattled off wins over Sacramento State, New Mexico State, and New Mexico. The Bulldogs would lose to UNLV and Washington State before another victory over Nevada 24-21.
Matched up against San Jose State on Saturday, the Bulldogs turned a 27-7 edge into a 33-10 victory by the final horn. QB Mikey Keene logged 275 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Elijah Gilliam posted 15 carries for 56 yards and a touchdown on the ground.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- Hawaii has lost 14 of its last 15 road games.
- The favorite has won each of Fresno State’s last eight games.
- Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight road games.
- Fresno State has covered the spread in each of its last five November games against Hawaii.
- Fresno State has won the first half in six of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- The underdog has won three of the last four games between Hawaii and Fresno State.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 12 games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four games between Hawaii and Fresno State.
Total Points Facts
- Five of Hawaii’s last six games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Fresno State’s last six home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Fresno State vs Hawaii Prediction
I’ll go with Fresno State. The Bulldogs pulled off a pretty clean win over San Jose State last weekend, notching 401 total yards (275 passing), 22 first downs, and a nice 12-of-19 rate on third-down tries. On defense, Fresno State gave up 385 yards (284 passing) but notched four picks and held the Spartans to just 5-of-15 on third-down conversions.
As for Hawaii, they gained a nice 242 rushing yards (395 total) with 26 first downs in their win over Nevada this past weekend. The two takeaways and 12 Wolf Pack penalties certainly helped as well. The 34 points are more the exception than the norm for the Warriors this year though, so I don’t think they’ll keep pace with Fresno State.