Fresno State vs Oregon State Prediction
Oregon State comes into this matchup undefeated in conference play and they have scored at least 48 points in four of their last five games. The Beavers have also won their last five games by at least 18 points. Fresno State has dropped two in a row and they allowed 26 to San Diego State last time out, which is an awful offense. I think Oregon State is the much better side in this contest and I like them to win and cover here.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 4-3 (1-2) this year after they lost to San Diego State by a score of 26-23 in their last game. Fresno State trailed 16-10 at halftime, but they were tied 23-23 in the fourth, before allowing a field goal with 57 seconds left for the loss. The Bulldogs were out gained by a total of 384-276, went 4-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Jayden Mandal threw for 141 yards, while Josiah Freeman caught three passes for 49 yards. Bryson Donelson rushed 13 times for 62 yards and one score in the loss.
Prior to that game, Fresno State lost to Boise State by a score of 38-31, but did beat Washington State by a score of 26-6 before that. The Bulldogs have scored 27.6 points per game with 212.1 passing yards and 139.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.9 points against per game this season. Jayden Mandal has thrown for 1,393 yards with eight touchdowns and one interception, while Josiah Freeman has 32 catches for 445 yards and two scores this year.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
The Oregon State Beavers are 5-2 (3-0) this season after they defeated Washington State by a score of 48-30 in their last game. Oregon State led 27-10 at halftime and they scored 21 points in the second half for the win. The Beavers out gained Washington State by a total of 555-459, went 5-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Braden Atkinson threw for 347 yards and three touchdowns, while AJ Newberry caught five passes for 120 yards and one score. Newberry also rushed 11 times for 105 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Oregon State defeated San Diego State by a score of 66-14 and Colorado State by a score of 56-26. The Beavers have scored 42.7 points per game with 384.9 passing yards and 142.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.1 points against per game this season. Braden Atkinson has thrown for 2,604 yards with 24 touchdowns and two interceptions, while Jesse Legree has 46 receptions for 1,040 yards and 14 scores this season.
Why the Oregon State Beavers will win
- The favorite has won each of Oregon State’s last eight games.
- Fresno State has lost each of its last six games as an underdog in California.
- Oregon State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 12 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon State has won the first quarter in each of its last five games.
- The favorite has won the first half in each of Oregon State’s last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Oregon State’s last six October games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Fresno State’s last five October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Manaki Watanabe leads the Pac-12 Conference for field goals made (13) this season.
Oregon State Beavers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Braden Atkinson ranks 1st amongst FBS players for passing yards (2604) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Fresno State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.1).
- Fresno State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.3).
- Oregon State ranks 1st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (384.9).
- Oregon State has averaged 57.0 points over its last two games – most in the FBS over that span.