The Utah State Aggies and Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college football action at Valley Children’s Stadium. Here’s a Fresno State vs Utah State Prediction. This article will include a Fresno State vs Utah State Pick.
Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
The Utah State Aggies beat Nevada, lost to UNLV, and they play Boise State next. Utah State has split its last 10 games. Bryson Barnes is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 2,352 yards, 18 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Braden Pegan and Brady Boyd have combined for 1,406 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Anthony Garcia has 16 receptions.
The Utah State Aggies ground game is averaging 160.5 yards per contest, and Miles Davis leads the way with 651 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Utah State is allowing 29.7 points and 421.6 yards per game. John Miller leads the Utah State Aggies with 90 tackles, Tyree Morris has 3 sacks and Noah Avinger has 3 interceptions.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs beat Boise State and Wyoming, and they play San Jose State next. The Fresno State Bulldogs have won 7 of their last 9 games. E.J. Warner is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 1,486 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Josiah Freeman and Richie Anderson III have combined for 611 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Ezekiel Avit has 20 receptions.
The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 178 yards per contest, and Rayshon Luke leads the way with 587 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 22.1 points and 321.3 yards per game. Jadon Pearson leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 81 tackles, Finn Claypool has 5.5 sacks and Simeon Harris has 3 interceptions.
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
- The home team has won each of Utah State’s last 14 games.
- Utah State has lost each of its last 15 games as a road underdog.
- Utah State has failed to cover the spread in 13 of its last 15 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Fresno State has covered the spread in each of its last four games in November.
- Fresno State has won the first half in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Utah State has won four of its last six games as an underdog in California.
- Fresno State has lost four of its last six November games as a favorite.
- Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four home games against teams from Utah.
- Utah State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games.
- Utah State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Utah State has won the first half in nine of its last 11 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Utah State’s last four games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Fresno State’s last seven home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Rayshon Luke ranks 5th amongst qualified players for catch rate (93.3%) this season.
Utah State Aggies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Miles Davis ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for catch rate (95.8%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Fresno State ranks 8th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (6.9).
- Fresno State ranks 10th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (163.6).
- Utah State ranks 128th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (11.0).
- Utah State ranks 127th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:23).
Fresno State vs Utah State Prediction
Utah State is 8-2 ATS on the season, but it’s also awful defensively, and I have issues backing teams on the road that can’t defend. Utah State is also winless on the road. Utah State has won four road games overall since the 2023 season. Fresno State has covered 6 of its last 8 home games as a favorite. It’s senior night for 28 seniors. We’re also not being asked to lay anything crazy. I have to lay the small number with Fresno State at home.