In this article, we will formulate a Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction for this College Football Week 9 game on Saturday, October 25th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview
Arkansas State has a 3-4 record this season and is sitting 4th in the Sun Belt. They are 4-3 ATS, 2-5 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 1-3 away record. Arkansas State is coming off a 15-14 road win against South Alabama and will face Troy, Southern Mississippi and Louisiana next.
Offensively, Arkansas State averages 22.1 points per game, ranking 106th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.1 points per game, which is 102nd. Arkansas State averages 362.7 total yards per game (238.1 passing and 124.6 rushing), while allowing 446.3 total yards per game (205.3 rushing and 241 passing).
Jaylen Raynor leads Arkansas State with 1,660 passing yards with 66.5% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Jaylen Raynor leads the team in rushing yards with 272, while Chauncy Cobb has a team-high 40 receptions for 474 receiving yards. Defensively, Brandon Greil has a team-high 43 total tackles (20 of them solo), while Eathan Hassler leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, and Avante Dickerson has a team-high 2 interceptions.
Georgia Southern Eagles Preview
Georgia Southern has a 3-4 record this season and is sitting 6th in the Sun Belt. They are 3-3-1 ATS, 6-1 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-3 away record. Georgia Southern is coming off a 41-24 home win against Georgia State and will face Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina and Old Dominion next.
Offensively, Georgia Southern averages 29.4 points per game, ranking 62nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 35.6 points per game, which is 129th. Georgia Southern averages 364.6 total yards per game (226.3 passing and 138.3 rushing), while allowing 467.1 total yards per game (237.3 rushing and 229.9 passing).
JC French leads Georgia Southern with 1,469 passing yards with 60.0% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. OJ Arnold leads the team in rushing yards with 439, while Camden Brown has a team-high 35 receptions for 598 receiving yards. Defensively, Brandon Tyson and Brendan Harrington have a team-high 54 total tackles (31 and 34 of them solo), while MJ Stroud leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, and Brandon Tyson has a team-high one interception.
Georgia Southern Eagles @ Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win
- Arkansas State has won each of its last nine games as a home favorite.
- Georgia Southern has lost seven of its last eight road games in October.
- Georgia Southern has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog.
- Arkansas State has covered the spread in each of its last four home games against teams from Georgia.
- Georgia Southern has lost the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Why the Georgia Southern Eagles will win
- The underdog has won three of Arkansas State’s last four games.
- Arkansas State has lost three of its last four games against teams from Georgia.
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of Arkansas State’s last five games.
- Arkansas State has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Georgia Southern’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Arkansas State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts
- Jaylen Raynor has recorded 25+ completions in four consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 9.
Georgia Southern Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Camden Brown ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arkansas State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Arkansas State ranks 135th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (11.3).
- Georgia Southern ranks 135th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (237.3).
- Georgia Southern ranks 134th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (177).
Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2021, Georgia Southern won 59-33 at home, but Arkansas State is 3-2 in their 5 overall meetings, having won their two meetings at home. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction, Arkansas State is coming as -1.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 62.5 points. Both teams have identical records this season and are 4-3 and 3-3-1 against the spread, so I see no value on either side. The total is set at 62.5, which is too high considering Arkansas State’s offensive struggles lately. The Red Wolves have scored 16 points or less in four of their last six games and I don’t think that they will contribute much to the total score. Take the under 62.5 points in this one.