In this article, we will formulate a Georgia Southern vs Troy prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 16th at Allen E. Paulson Stadium in Statesboro, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup.
Georgia Southern Eagles Betting Preview
The Georgia Southern Eagles are 6-3 (4-1) this year after they defeated South Alabama by a score of 34-30 in their last game. Georgia Southern led 14-13 at halftime, but they trailed 30-14 in the fourth quarter, before scoring the final 20 points for the win. The Eagles were outgained by a total of 458-337, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 7-16 on third down in the game. JC French threw for 196 yards and two touchdowns, while Jalen White rushed for 71 yards and one score.
Prior to that win, the Eagles lost to Old Dominion by a score of 47-19, but did win the three games before that. The Georgia Southern offense has scored 29.4 points per game with 249.8 passing yards and 124.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 30.4 points per game this season. JC French has completed 65.4% of his passes for 1,988 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Dalen Cobb has caught 42 passes for 488 yards and four scores.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
The Troy Trojans are 2-7 (1-4) this season after they defeated Coastal Carolina by a score of 38-24 in their last game. Troy led 28-7 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite allowing 17 points in the third quarter. The Trojans outgained Coastal by a total of 511-313, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-12 on third down in the game. Matthew Caldwell threw for 169 yards and two touchdowns, while Damien Taylor rushed for 190 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Trojans lost four games in a row against Arkansas State, South Alabama, Texas State, and UL Monroe. The Troy offense has scored 22.4 points per game with 202.4 passing yards and 146.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.8 points per game this season. Matthew Caldwell has completed 61% of his passes for 903 yards, six touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Damien Taylor has rushed for 682 yards and four scores.
Why Georgia Southern will cover
- Georgia Southern has won six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has lost eight of its last 10 games.
- Georgia Southern has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Troy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven November games as an underdog.
- Troy has lost the first half in six of its last eight road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Troy’s last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Georgia Southern’s last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Georgia Southern ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (10.1).
- Georgia Southern ranks 129th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (272.7).
- Troy ranks 1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Troy ranks T126th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.7).
Georgia Southern vs Troy Prediction
Georgia Southern comes into this matchup battling to make the Sun Belt Championship game, so they can’t afford a lack of focus here. The Eagles have won four of their last five games and they have scored at least 28 points in three of their last five. Troy only has one conference win on the season, but that victory did come in their last game, so they should have some momentum. Troy has done a pretty good job of keeping games close recently, but I don’t think this is a good matchup for them and their low-scoring offense. Take Georgia Southern here.