The UAB Blazers and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Thursday in college football action at Gies Memorial Stadium. Here’s an Illinois vs UAB Prediction. This article will include an Illinois vs UAB Pick.
UAB Blazers Betting Preview
UAB has won 4 or fewer games in 3 straight seasons and begins the first full year under coach Alex Mortensen. UAB hasn’t made a bowl appearance since the 2022 season.
UAB has an experienced quarterback in Ryder Burton who threw for 708 yards and 7 touchdowns last season. Running back Roderick Robinson II comes over from Georgia, and Bam McReynolds is a ULM transfer. There are tools to work with here offensively. The defense will be led by defensive coordinator Todd Grantham, a guy who has been at countless big programs and even bounced around in the NFL. There’s potential with this UAB squad, and if things break right, the Blazers could sneak into a bowl appearance.
Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview
Illinois has won a combined 19 games in the last two seasons and has a chance at three straight bowl trips for the first time since the 1992 season. Coach Bret Bielema has this program heading in the right direction.
East Carolina transfer Katin Houser gets the nod at quarterback, and he has 6,438 yards and 43 touchdowns for his career. Aidan Laughery and Ca’Lil Valentine are an experienced running back duo that produced over 900 yards and 7 touchdowns last season. Bobby Hauck takes over as defensive coordinator and will install a 3-3-5 scheme. The secondary is the star of this defense, and Juice Clarke should be poised for a breakout season. The concern is Illinois goes from one of the most experienced teams in the country a year ago to one with a lot of baby faces. We’ll see how quickly guys can hit the ground running.
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- Illinois has won each of its last 11 games against non-conference opponents at Gies Memorial Stadium.
- UAB has lost 17 of its last 18 road games.
- Illinois has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
- UAB has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Illinois has won the first quarter in nine of its last 10 games against non-conference opponents at Gies Memorial Stadium.
- Illinois has won the first half in each of its last 10 games as a favorite in Illinois.
Why the UAB Blazers will win
- UAB has won each of its last 10 season openers.
- UAB has covered the spread in each of its last five September games as a road underdog.
- Illinois has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against opponents from the American Conference.
- The road team has won the first half in three of UAB’s last four games.
- UAB has won the first quarter in eight of its last nine Thursday games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Illinois’ last six games against non-conference opponents at Gies Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of UAB’s last four September games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Illinois Fighting Illini Player Prop Facts
- Jayshon Platt ranked 4th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (613) last season.
UAB Blazers Player Prop Facts
- Oliver Straw ranked 10th in the Big 12 Conference amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (42.5) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Illinois ranked T17th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game last season (8.2).
- Illinois ranked T23rd among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters last season (+4.1).
- UAB ranked 136th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game last season (11.0).
- UAB ranked 136th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game last season (22.4).
Illinois vs UAB Prediction
Illinois is a lot younger than it was a season ago, and it could lead to growing pains early. However, there’s still a talent gap here, and Bielema has this program humming at the moment. UAB didn’t play much defense last year, has a new coordinator, and I’m not sold on the offensive skill positions. Illinois is a solid Big Ten team that wins in the trenches and can bully opponents who aren’t ready to bang. Thick line, and I’d love to get off the hook of the key number, but I’m still siding with Illinois in a comfortable season-opening victory.