Illinois vs UCLA Prediction
In this Illinois vs UCLA prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Friday, November 13th, UCLA is coming as -10.5 home favorites. UCLA has been the far better team this season as they have been undefeated so far and have covered the spread in all of their nine games played. They are ranked #4 in the country this season and have the 8th-best defense in the country and a +19.5 point differential. Illinois has also been in very good form lately, having won its last four games and is 3-0 against the spread and have been playing excellent defense lately. I see no value on either side and I like the total more, as both teams are allowing just 37.1 points per game defensively this season and are 7-1 to the under in their last 8 games combined. Take the under 48 points in this one.
UCLA Bruins Preview
UCLA has a 9-0 record and a 6-0 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 34-20 road win against Minnesota and will face Michigan and USC next.
Offensively, UCLA averages 33.6 points per game, ranking 32nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 14.1 points per game, which is 8th. UCLA averages 431.9 total yards per game (218.7 passing and 213.2 rushing), while allowing 264.7 total yards per game (87.7 rushing and 177.0 passing). They average 66.3 plays per game and 6.5 yards per play on offense, while allowing 62.3 plays per game and 4.2 yards per play on defense. UCLA averages 20.4 first downs per game on offense and 14.8 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 1.4 turnovers per game and forcing 3.0 turnovers per game.
Ty Dieffenbach leads UCLA with 986 passing yards with 57.8% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Wayne Knight leads the team in rushing yards with 789, while Semaj Morgan has a team-high 469 receiving yards and 37 receptions. Defensively, Jalen Woods has a team-high 73 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Samuel Omosigho leads the team with 5.5 sacks.
Illinois Fighting Illini Preview
Illinois has a 6-3 record and a 4-2 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 24-13 home win against Nebraska and will face Iowa and Northwestern next.
Offensively, Illinois averages 28.4 points per game, ranking 68th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23 points per game, which is 54th. Illinois averages 392.2 total yards per game (236.9 passing and 155.3 rushing), while allowing 376.8 total yards per game (131.2 rushing and 245.6 passing). They average 62.3 plays per game and 6.3 yards per play on offense, while allowing 65.8 plays per game and 5.7 yards per play on defense. Illinois averages 21.2 first downs per game on offense and 21.0 first downs per game on defense. They are averaging 0.7 turnovers per game and forcing 0.7 turnovers per game.
Katin Houser leads Illinois with 1,955 passing yards with 64.3% completed passes and 16 touchdowns. Aidan Laughery leads the team in rushing yards with 615, while Collin Dixon has a team-high 910 receiving yards and 68 receptions. Defensively, Matthew Bailey has a team-high 66 total tackles (42 of them solo), while Ean Rhea leads the team with 2 sacks.
Illinois Fighting Illini @ UCLA Bruins Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the UCLA Bruins will win
- UCLA has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Illinois has lost each of its last six games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
- UCLA has covered the spread in each of its last eight games as a favorite.
- Illinois has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- UCLA has won the first half in eight of its last nine games as an AP-ranked team at Rose Bowl.
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- UCLA has lost four of its last five November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Illinois has won three of its last four games as an underdog.
- Illinois has covered the spread in 13 of its last 14 road games in November.
- UCLA has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games at Rose Bowl.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Illinois’ last six games as an underdog against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of UCLA’s last six November games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
UCLA Bruins Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Wayne Knight leads the Big Ten Conference for rushing touchdowns (13) this season.
Illinois Fighting Illini Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Collin Dixon ranks T4th amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (12) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- UCLA ranks T1st among FBS teams for interceptions this season (17).
- UCLA ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+7.9).
- Illinois ranks T120th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (3).
- Illinois ranks 118th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (245.6).