In this article, we will formulate an Indiana vs Purdue prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 30th at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
The Indiana Hoosiers are 10-1 (7-1) this year after they lost to Ohio State by a score of 38-15 in their last game. Indiana led 7-0 in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 31 points in the game for the loss. The Hoosiers were outgained by a total of 316-153, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Kurtis Rourke threw for just 68 yards, while Ty Son Lawton rushed for 79 yards and two scores.
Prior to that loss, the Hoosiers won their first 10 games of the season, with most of those wins coming by at least 14 points. The Indiana offense has scored 41.3 points per game with 257.5 passing yards and 168.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 16 points per game this season. Kurtis Rourke has completed 69.9% of his passes for 2,478 yards, 21 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Justice Ellison has rushed for 748 yards and nine scores.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers are 1-10 (0-8) this season after they lost to Michigan State by a score of 24-17 in their last game. Purdue trailed 24-3 at the half, but they shut out MSU in the second half and nearly tied the game. The Boilermakers outgained MSU by a total of 338-296, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Hudson Card threw for 342 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Jahmal Edrine caught five passes for 87 yards.
Prior to that game, the Boilermakers lost nine games in a row and they have now scored 17 points or fewer in six of their last eight games. The Purdue offense has scored 17.7 points per game with 195.7 passing yards and 124.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 37.5 points per game this season. Hudson Card has completed 58.7% of his passes for 1,606 yards, nine touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Max Klare has caught 46 passes for 649 yards and four scores.
Why Indiana will beat Purdue
- Purdue has lost each of its last 10 games.
- Indiana has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in nine of Indiana’s last 10 games.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
- Indiana has won the first quarter in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Purdue has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Indiana’s last nine November home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Purdue’s last four games at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington) have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Indiana ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (76.1).
- Indiana ranks 2nd among FBS teams for points per game this season (41.3).
- Purdue ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (1.2).
- Purdue ranks 134th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (4.8).
Indiana vs Purdue Prediction
Indiana comes into this game trying to bounce back after a rough loss against Ohio State last week, as they cannot afford a loss here. The Hoosiers should win this game easily, which should put them in the College Football Playoff, but they need as many style points as possible. Purdue has been awful this season and while they did keep last week’s game with MSU close, that is more of an indictment on Michigan State. I think Indiana gets back on track here and puts up 50 points. Take the Hoosiers.