Iowa State vs TCU Prediction Football Picks 10-7-23
Iowa State Cyclones (2-3) vs TCU Horned Frogs (3-2)
2023-10-07 20:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa State Cyclones +6.5 -- Over/Under: 53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The TCU Horned Frogs and the Iowa State Cyclones meet in week 6 college football action from Jack Trice Stadium on Saturday night.
TCU Falls To West Virginia
The TCU Horned Frogs fell short in their last game against West Virginia, losing to the Mountaineers 24-21 to drop to 3-2 on the year. Chandler Morris has thrown for 1,419 yards, 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 66.1% passing while also rushing for 235 yards and 3 scores. Emani Bailey has a team-high 538 rushing yards and Trey Sanders has 138 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. JP Richardson leads TCU’s receivers with 17 grabs for 272 yards while six more TCU receivers have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Namdi Obiazor has a team-high 41 total tackles while Paul Oyewale also has a team-high 3 sacks this season as part of TCU’s 16 sacks and 5 interceptions as a team this year.
TCU Horned Frogs Team Facts
TCU has won each of its last 10 games as a road favorite.
The road team has covered the spread in four of TCU’s last five games.
TCU has won the first half in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.
Each of TCU’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Iowa State Gets Routed By Sooners
The Iowa State Cyclones ended up on the wrong side of a 50-20 beatdown loss to Oklahoma, dropping to 2-3 on the year as a result. Rocco Becht has thrown for 1,085 yards, 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60.5% passing while Cartevious Norton has a team-high 143 rushing yards and Abu Sama III and Eli Sanders each have 100+ rushing yards as well on the year. Jaylin Noel leads Iowa State with 24 receptions for 250 yards and 2 TDs and Jayden Higgins has 16 receptions for 244 yards and a team-high 3 scores while two more Iowa State receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Beau Freyler has a team-high 34 total tackles while Jeremiah Cooper has a team-high 4 interceptions this season. As a unit, Iowa State is averaging 8 sacks and 6 interceptions this season.
Iowa State Cyclones Team Facts
Iowa State has lost each of its last five games in October.
Iowa State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a home underdog.
Iowa State has lost the first half in nine of its last 11 games against conference opponents.
Each of Iowa State’s last nine games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Iowa State ranked 11th among FBS teams for H2 points allowed per game last season (8.3).
Iowa State ranked 15th among FBS teams for Q4 points allowed per game last season (4.6).
TCU ranked 5th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game last season (10.3).
TCU was one of only six FBS teams to remain undefeated in road games last season (6-0) (min. 8 games).
Chris’ Pick
I’m looking at TCU here. I trust TCU’s offensive upside even on the road a lot more than I do Iowa State’s, as the Cyclones were absolutely torn to shreds by Oklahoma and even though they were competitive in the first half, the Cyclones got nothing in the second half against an Oklahoma team that’s not necessarily known for their defense. I think TCU goes on the road here and gets the win and cover so give me TCU.