Iowa vs Purdue Prediction Football Picks 10-7-23
Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1) vs Purdue Boilermakers (2-3)
2023-10-07 15:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa Hawkeyes -2.5 -- Over/Under: 39
(Get latest betting odds)
The Purdue Boilermakers and the Iowa Hawkeyes meet in week 6 college football action from Kinnick Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Purdue One Step Closer To .500
The Purdue Boilermakers improved to 2-3 on the year after ending up with a 44-19 win over Illinois last time out. Hudson Card has thrown for 1,244 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 63.8% passing while Tyrone Tracy Jr. has a team-high 288 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns while Devin Mockobee has 279 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Deion Burks has a team-high 377 receiving yards and Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen has a team-high 24 catches for 315 yards with Burks logging 4 receiving touchdowns this season. TJ Sheffield and Max Klare each have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Dillon Thieneman has a team-high 45 total tackles and a pair of interceptions while Kydran Jenkins has a team-high 4 sacks. As a whole, Purdue’s defense has combined for 16 sacks and 5 interceptions this season.
Purdue Boilermakers Team Facts
Purdue has won four of its last five October games as a road underdog.
Purdue has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October games as a road underdog.
Purdue has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Each of Purdue’s last four games as an underdog against Iowa have gone UNDER the total points line.
Iowa Gets By Sparty
The Iowa Hawkeyes improved their mark to 4-1 on the year after a 26-16 win over Michigan State last time out. Cade McNamara has thrown for 505 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 51.1% passing while Deacon Hill has thrown for 164 yards, a touchdown and an interception. Leshon Williams has 211 rushing yards to lead Iowa this season while Erick Ali leads Iowa’s receiving group with 14 grabs for 183 yards while Luke Lachey has 131 receiving yards. On defense, Jay Higgins has a team-high 62 total tackles while Sebastian Castro has a pair of interceptions. As a whole, Iowa’s defense has 3 sacks and 5 interceptions this season.
Iowa Hawkeyes Team Facts
The underdog has won each of the last three games between Purdue and Iowa.
The favorite has covered the spread in each of Iowa’s last four games.
Iowa has won the first half in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
Each of the last four games between Purdue and Iowa have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Iowa ranked 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points allowed per game last season (3.4).
Iowa ranked 2nd among FBS teams for H2 points allowed per game last season (6.3).
Purdue ranked T21st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game last season (9.1).
Purdue ranked T21st among FBS teams for Q4 win percentage last season (.571).
Chris’ Pick
I’m on the under here. I’m still not trusting this Iowa offense, and I don’t expect much from Purdue against this stout Iowa defense. The last four meetings between these two teams have gone under the number as well, and I think this is going to be another physical Big Ten rivalry matchup. Give me the under.