Kansas vs TCU Prediction
In this Kansas vs TCU prediction, TCU is coming as -6 home favorites. Both teams have identical records this season and both have been bad against the spread, with a 1-3 and 1-5 ATS record in their last 4 and 6 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. TCU has the 6th-best defense in the entire country and Kansas’ offense has taken a small dip lately, averaging almost 25 ppg in their last three games, which is almost six points less than their season average. Take the under 47 points in this one.
TCU Horned Frogs Preview
TCU has a 3-4 record and a 1-3 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 20-24 home loss against West Virginia and will face Arizona and Kansas State next.
Offensively, TCU averages 23.4 points per game, ranking 101st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 13.9 points per game, which is 6th. TCU averages 405.4 total yards per game (295.1 passing and 110.3 rushing), while allowing 264.3 total yards per game (105.4 rushing and 158.9 passing).
Jaden Craig leads TCU with 2,066 passing yards with 67.5% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Jeremy Payne leads the team in rushing yards with 429, while Ed Small has a team-high 514 receiving yards and 38 receptions. Defensively, Hudson Hooper has a team-high 41 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Koron Hayward leads the team with 4.5 sacks.
Kansas Jayhawks Preview
Kansas has a 3-4 record and a 1-3 record in the Big 12. They are coming off a 25-24 home win against Baylor and will face UCF and West Virginia next.
Offensively, Kansas averages 31 points per game, ranking 55th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24 points per game, which is 68th. Kansas averages 445.4 total yards per game (238.1 passing and 207.3 rushing), while allowing 350 total yards per game (166.9 rushing and 183.1 passing).
Isaiah Marshall leads Kansas with 1,506 passing yards with 53.6% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Dylan Edwards leads the team in rushing yards with 531, while Nik McMillan has a team-high 466 receiving yards and 25 receptions. Defensively, Trey Lathan has a team-high 48 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Leroy Harris III leads the team with 3.5 sacks.
Kansas Jayhawks @ TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- The favorite has won each of Kansas’ last 11 games.
- Kansas has lost each of its last nine games as an underdog.
- Kansas has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 10 October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in six of Kansas’ last seven games.
- Kansas has lost the first half in 21 of its last 22 October games as a road underdog.
- TCU has won the first quarter in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win
- The underdog has won three of TCU’s last four games.
- TCU has lost three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite against teams from Kansas.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of TCU’s last three games.
- The road team has won the first half in each of the last four games between Kansas and TCU.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Kansas’ last seven October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of TCU’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
TCU Horned Frogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Ed Small leads TCU for receptions (38) this season.
Kansas Jayhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Nik McMillan leads Kansas for receptions (25) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- TCU ranks 3rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (4.9).
- TCU ranks T5th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (68.4).
- Kansas has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
- Kansas ranks T120th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (2).