In this article, we will formulate a Louisiana-Monroe vs Southern Miss Prediction for this College Football Week 9 game on Saturday, October 25th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Preview
Southern Miss has a 5-2 record this season and is sitting 1st in the Sun Belt. They are 4-2-1 ATS, 4-3 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 2-1 away record. Southern Mississippi is coming off a 22-10 road win against Louisiana and will face Arkansas State, Texas State and Troy next.
Offensively, Southern Miss averages 30.7 points per game, ranking 54th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.1 points per game, which is 75th. Southern Mississippi averages 390.9 total yards per game (245.9 passing and 145.0 rushing), while allowing 391.0 total yards per game (162.6 rushing and 228.4 passing).
Braylon Braxton leads Southern Miss with 1,711 passing yards with 65.9% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Jeffery Pittman leads the team in rushing yards with 419, while Carl Chester has a team-high 18 receptions for 275 receiving yards. Defensively, Chris Jones has a team-high 73 total tackles (26 of them solo), while J’Mond Tapp leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, and Ian Foster has a team-high 2 interceptions.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Preview
Louisiana-Monroe has a 3-4 record this season and is sitting 5th in the Sun Belt. They are 2-5 ATS, 4-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 1-3 away record. Louisiana-Monroe is coming off a 14-37 home loss against Troy and will face Old Dominion, South Alabama and Texas State next.
Offensively, Louisiana-Monroe averages 16.7 points per game, ranking 131st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 30.9 points per game, which is 112th. Louisiana-Monroe averages 325.6 total yards per game (157.4 passing and 168.1 rushing), while allowing 380.0 total yards per game (137.3 rushing and 242.7 passing).
Aiden Armenta leads Louisiana-Monroe with 920 passing yards with 56.1% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Braylon McReynolds leads the team in rushing yards with 437, while Jonathan Bibbs has a team-high 16 receptions for 216 receiving yards. Defensively, Noah Flemmings has a team-high 37 total tackles (19 of them solo), while Dylan Howell leads the team in sacks, with 4.0, and Kristopher Robinson has a team-high one interception.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 13 road games in October.
- The favorite has won 20 of Southern Miss’ last 21 games.
- Southern Miss has covered the spread in each of its last six games as a favorite against teams from Louisiana.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog.
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in 20 of its last 23 road games against conference opponents.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- Southern Miss has lost five of its last six home games against conference opponents.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a home favorite.
- Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in each of its last three games against teams from Mississippi.
- Southern Miss has lost the first half in five of its last six home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Louisiana-Monroe’s last 10 games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Southern Miss’ last four home games against teams from Louisiana have gone UNDER the total points line.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Braylon Braxton has recorded the equal-longest passing touchdown in a single game this season (98 yards vs Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns, Week 8).
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, David Godsey Jr. leads the Sun Belt Conference for forced fumbles (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Southern Miss ranks T2nd among FBS teams for interceptions this season (13).
- Southern Miss ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (3.3).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 131st among FBS teams for points per game this season (16.7).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.7).
Louisiana-Monroe vs Southern Miss Prediction
In their previous meeting last season, Louisiana-Monroe won 38-21 at home, but Southern Miss is 3-2 in their 5 overall meetings. Under is 4-1 in their 5 meetings.
In this Louisiana-Monroe vs Southern Miss Prediction, Southern Miss is coming as -11-point home favorites, with the total set at 50.5 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup on opposite trajectories, as Southern Miss is 5-1 in its last 6 games, while on the flip side, Louisiana-Monroe has three straight losses. The Golden Eagles are also very strong at home, and are better both offensively and defensively. They score almost twice as many points as the Warhawks (30.7 to 16.7), who have the 6th-worst offense in the country. I expect the hosts to dominate this game, so take Southern Mississippi and lay the -11 points in this one.