Louisville vs Stanford Prediction
Stanford comes into this matchup on a two game winning streak and they have scored at least 31 points in three of their last five games. The Cardinal have had some defensive issues this year, allowing 57 to Wake Forest and 58 to Notre Dame. Louisville has also won two in a row, but they were very sloppy in the second half against Syracuse two weeks ago. The Cardinals are the more talented team and they have the much better quarterback, but I don’t really trust their defense at all. Take the over in this one.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals are 4-3 (3-2) this season after they defeated Syracuse by a score of 34-26 in their last game. Louisville led 28-23 at halftime and they were able to get the win, but they scored just six points in the second half. The Cardinals were out gained by a total of 462-425, went 6-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-2 in the game. Lincoln Kienholz threw for 310 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while also rushing 10 times for 53 yards and two scores. Lawayne McCoy caught five passes for 93 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Louisville defeated Florida State by a score of 44-20, but lost to NC State by a score of 31-28 before that. The Cardinals have scored 38.7 points per game with 269.6 passing yards and 215.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 27.4 points against per game this season. Lincoln Kienholz has thrown for 1,844 yards with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions this season.
Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview
The Stanford Cardinal are 4-4 (2-3) this year after they defeated NC State by a score of 31-28 in their last game. Stanford led 21-14 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite losing the second half 14-10. The Cardinal out gained NC State by a total of 477-381, went 5-13 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Davis Warren threw for 303 yards and four touchdowns, while Caden High caught nine passes for 103 yards and one score. Micah Ford rushed 22 times for 150 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Stanford defeated Elon by a score of 34-7, but lost to Notre Dame by a score of 58-7 before that. The Cardinal have scored 19.9 points per game with 247.4 passing yards and 112.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 35.5 points against per game this season. Davis Warren has thrown for 1,933 yards with 11 touchdowns and two interceptions this year, while Micah Ford has rushed 136 times for 679 yards and eight scores.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Stanford has lost each of its last 14 road games.
- The home team has won each of Stanford’s last six games.
- Stanford has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in five of Louisville’s last six games.
- The favorite has won the first half in eight of Stanford’s last nine games.
- Louisville has won the first quarter in four of its last five games at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
Why the Stanford Cardinal will win
- Stanford has won three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Louisville has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October games as a favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in nine of Louisville’s last 12 games at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium.
- Louisville has lost the first half in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Louisville’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Stanford’s last four games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Louisville Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Kaleb Beasley ranks T1st amongst FBS players for interceptions (5) this season.
Stanford Cardinal Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 9, Chris Davis Jr. ranks 6th amongst FBS players for kick return yards (431) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisville ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (11.4).
- Louisville has overturned the largest 1st quarter deficit to win a game this season – 14 points vs Florida State.
- Stanford has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 40+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
- Stanford ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-7.0).