LSU vs Florida Prediction Football Picks 11-11-23
LSU Tigers (6-3) vs Florida Gators (5-4)
2023-11-11 19:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: LSU Tigers -13.5 -- Over/Under: 62.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida Gators and the LSU Tigers meet in week 11 college football action from Tiger Stadium on Saturday.
Florida Falls To Arkansas
The Florida Gators will be looking to rebound after a 39-36 OT loss to Arkansas that dropped them to 5-4 on the year with back-to-back losses. Graham Mertz has thrown for 2,409 yards, 17 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 73.9% passing while Montrell Johnson Jr. has a team-high 555 rushing yards with 4 touchdowns and Trevor Etienne has 529 rushing yards and 4 scores as well this season. Ricky Pearsall leads Florida’s receiving group with 55 grabs for 773 yards and 4 touchdowns while Eugene Wilson III has 416 receiving yards with 4 scores and Arlis Boardingham has 268 receiving yards with 4 TDs. Another four Gators have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Shemar James has a team-high 55 total tackles while Florida’s defense as a whole has combined for 16 sacks and 3 interceptions this season.
Florida Gators Team Facts
- Florida has lost seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog.
- Florida has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Tiger Stadium.
- Each of Florida’s last five games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
LSU Falls To Alabama
The LSU Tigers took their 3rd loss of the season after a 42-28 loss to Alabama snapped their three-game win streak. Jayden Daniels has thrown for 2,792 yards, 27 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 72.1% passing while also rushing for a team-high 684 yards and 6 TDs. Logan Diggs also has 635 rushing yards with 6 scores while Malik Nabers leads LSU’s receiving group with 66 grabs for 1,152 yards and 10 touchdowns. Brian Thomas Jr. has 45 receptions for 768 yards and a team-high 11 TDs while Kyren Lacy has 347 receiving yards with 4 TDs as well. On defense, Greg Penn III has a team-high 61 total tackles with 2 sacks while Andre’ Sam has 3 interceptions and Harold Perkins Jr. has a team-high 4 sacks.
LSU Tigers Team Facts
- LSU has won each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams at Tiger Stadium.
- LSU has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as a home favorite.
- Each of LSU’s last 13 games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- LSU rank 3rd among FBS teams for points per game this season (45.2).
Chris’ Pick
I’m sticking with LSU here. This is a big number and LSU’s defense can make any number look big with the lack of defense they play. However, the Tigers have the far more consistent offense and the offense with more big play ability in this matchup and I just don’t trust the Gators to do enough here to hold down this LSU offense. Give me the Tigers laying the big number here.