In this article we will formulate a LSU vs Texas A&M prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 26th at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.
LSU Tigers Betting Preview
The LSU Tigers are 2-1 (0-1) this season after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 32-24 last week. LSU trailed 24-7 at halftime, but they tied the game at 24 in the fourth, before allowing a touchdown with six minutes left for the loss. The Tigers were out gained by a total of 426-330, went 9-17 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Sam Leavitt threw for 158 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Trey’Dez Green caught four passes for 60 yards. Dilin Jones rushed 23 times for 106 yards and one score in the game.
Prior to that loss, LSU defeated Louisiana Tech by a score of 45-14 and Clemson by a score of 51-10. The Tigers have scored 40.0 points per game with 291.3 passing yards and 209.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.7 points against per game this season. Sam Leavitt has thrown for 732 yards with three touchdowns and five interceptions this season.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
The Texas A&M Aggies are 2-1 (0-1) this year after they lost to Kentucky by a score of 31-21 in their last game. Texas A&M was tied 7-7 at halftime, but they allowed 21 points in the third quarter and couldn’t recover in the loss. The Aggies out gained Kentucky by a total of 423-408, went 9-17 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Marcel Reed threw for 236 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Mario Craver caught 11 passes for 119 yards. Reed led the ground game with 10 carries for 80 yards and one score in the loss.
Prior to that game, Texas A&M defeated Arizona State by a score of 48-20 and Missouri State by a score of 50-0. The Aggies have scored 39.7 points per game with 222.7 passing yards and 171.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 17.0 points against per game this season. Marcel Reed has thrown for 632 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions this year.
Why the LSU Tigers will win
- LSU has won each of its last 15 September games at Tiger Stadium.
- Texas A&M has lost seven of its last eight road games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
- LSU has covered the spread in 12 of its last 14 games as a favorite against teams from Texas.
- Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as an underdog.
- LSU has won the first half in each of its last 11 games at Tiger Stadium.
- LSU has won the first quarter in five of its last six home games in September.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- Texas A&M has won four of its last six games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
- LSU has lost each of its last four September games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
- Texas A&M has covered the spread in each of its last seven September games as an underdog.
- LSU has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight September games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
- The team ranked 23rd in the AP Poll has won the first quarter in five of its last six games.
- The underdog has won the first half in each of the last five games between Texas A&M and LSU.
Total Points Facts
- Each of LSU’s last seven games against teams from Texas have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of Texas A&M’s last 10 road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
LSU Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Princewill Umanmielen ranks T1st amongst FBS players for sacks (6.0) this season.
Texas A&M Aggies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Tyler White ranks 8th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (48.4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- LSU ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- LSU ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (33.0).
- Texas A&M ranks 1st among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+17.3).
- Texas A&M ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (18.3).
LSU vs Texas A&M Prediction
Texas A&M comes into this matchup after a bad loss to Kentucky last week and they will be on the road in a tough place to play here. The Aggies really didn’t play great against ASU two weeks ago either, so they need figure it out quickly. LSU is also coming off of a loss against Ole Miss and Leavitt has had turnover issues. The Tigers are the better team in this game, but something just seems off with them right now. Take Texas A&M and the points here.