In this article we will formulate a Memphis vs Arkansas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 20th at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup.
Memphis Tigers Betting Preview
The Memphis Tigers are 3-0 this year after they defeated Troy by a score of 28-7 in their last game. Memphis led 7-0 after the first quarter and 21-7 at halftime, before coasting to the win in the second half with a great defensive effort. The Tigers out gained Troy by a total of 431-112, went 6-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Brendon Lewis went 17-27 for 213 yards and one touchdown, while Sutton Smith rushed 18 times for 113 yards and two scores. Cortez Braham Jr caught four passes for 69 yards to lead the Memphis receivers. The Memphis defense recorded four sacks and eight tackles for loss in the victory.
Memphis started the season with a 45-10 win over Chattanooga and also won in week two by a score of 38-16 against Georgia State. The Tigers are averaging 39.0 points per game with 202.7 passing yards and 218.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 11.0 points against per game this season. Brendon Lewis has completed 73.3% of his passes for 608 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Jamari Hawkins has caught nine passes for 176 yards. Sutton Smith has led the Memphis ground game with 41 carries for 247 yards and four touchdowns this year.
Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview
The Arkansas Razorbacks are 2-1 this season after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 41-35 last week. Arkansas was tied at seven after the first quarter, but they allowed 24 points in the second half, which ended up being the difference. The Razorbacks out gained Ole Miss by a total of 526-475, went 9-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Taylen Green went 22-35 for 305 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 115 yards and one score. O’Mega Blake led the receivers with six catches for 81 yards and one touchdown in the game. The Arkansas defense recorded one sack and four tackles for loss in the defeat.
Arkansas opened the season with a week one win over Alabama A&M by a score of 52-7 and a week two win over Arkansas State by a score of 56-14. The Razorbacks are averaging 47.7 points per game with 324.0 passing yards and 245.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 20.7 points against per game this season. Taylen Green has completed 68.5% of his passes for 866 yards, 11 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while also rushing for 307 yards and two touchdowns. Mike Washington Jr has carried the ball 31 times for 260 yards and three scores, while O’Mega Blake has caught 18 passes for 266 yards and three touchdowns this season.
Why Arkansas will beat Memphis
- Arkansas has won each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Memphis has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games in September.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Memphis’ last four games.
- Arkansas has won the first half in 11 of its last 12 games against non-conference opponents.
- Arkansas has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Arkansas’ last nine games against non-conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Memphis’ last six games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Memphis ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Memphis ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
- Arkansas ranks 1st among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (71.9).
- Arkansas ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
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Memphis vs Arkansas Prediction
Memphis comes into this matchup looking to start the season with a 4-0 record, but will face a tough Arkansas team here. The Razorbacks did lose against Ole Miss last week, but they played decently well and still scored 35 points. The Memphis defense has looked elite through three games, but they have also played three very weak opponents. I am interested to see how Memphis stacks up in this game and I do think the home field will help, but I think the Arkansas offense will be too much. Take the Razorbacks to cover.