In this article we will formulate a Miami-OH vs Ohio prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 19th at Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week eight matchup.
Miami-OH Red Hawks Betting Preview
The Miami-OH RedHawks are 2-4 (1-1) this year after they defeated Eastern Michigan by a score of 38-14 in their last game. Miami led 21-7 at halftime, but saw their lead cut to 21-14, before scoring 17 points in the fourth quarter to pull away. The RedHawks out gained EMU by a total of 421-332, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 3-9 on third down in the game. Brett Gabbert threw for 222 yards and four touchdowns, while Keyon Mozee rushed for 100 yards on 16 carries.
Miami also has a win over UMass this year, but they have four losses against Northwestern, Cincinnati, Notre Dame, and Toledo. The Miami offense has scored 17.7 points per game with 233.5 passing yards and 99.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22 points against per game this season. The RedHawks have gone 35.1% on third down and 0-3 on fourth down so far this season. Brett Gabbert has completed 56.5% of his passes for 1,384 yards, nine touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Cade McDonald has caught 30 passes for 382 yards and one score.
Ohio Bobcats Betting Preview
The Ohio Bobcats are 4-2 (2-0) this season after they defeated Central Michigan by a score of 27-25 in their last game. Ohio led 24-0 at the half, but they barely were able to hang on for the win in the fourth quarter. The Bobcats out gained CMU by a total of 424-292, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 4-11 on third down in the game. Parker Navarro threw for 147 yards and one touchdown, while also rushing for 176 yards and one score.
Ohio has also defeated South Alabama, Morgan State, and Akron, but they do have losses against Syracuse and Kentucky. The Ohio offense has scored 22.5 points per game with 172.2 passing yards and 206 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.3 points against per game this season. The Bobcats have gone 37.7% on third down and 2-3 on fourth down so far this season. Parker Navarro has completed 66.4% of his passes for 898 yards, five touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Coleman Owen has caught 36 passes for 514 yards and three touchdowns.
Why Ohio will cover
- The underdog has won four of the last five games between Ohio and Miami (OH).
- Ohio has covered the spread in each of its last six October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Ohio has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Ohio has won the first half in 15 of its last 19 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Ohio’s last eight October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Miami (OH)’s last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Miami (OH) ranks T7th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (66.7).
- Miami (OH) ranks T127th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.3).
- Ohio ranks T7th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.5).
- Ohio ranks 120th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (9.2).
Miami-OH vs Ohio Prediction
Miami-OH comes into this matchup after getting a much needed conference win against Eastern Michigan last week, and they will have the home field advantage here. The RedHawks have played a difficult schedule so far this season, so they are probably better than their record suggests. Ohio has won four of their last five games, but they played a pretty bad second half last week against Central Michigan. Despite the poor second half last week, I like how Ohio has looked this season and I think they can win this game. Take the Bobcats with the points.