The Iowa Hawkeyes and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Spartan Stadium. Here’s a Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction. This article will include a Michigan State vs Iowa Pick.
Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Preview
The Iowa Hawkeyes beat Washington, lost to Ohio State, and play Northwestern next. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won 4 of their last 6 road games. Cade McNamara is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 794 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jacob Gill and Luke Lachey have combined for 325 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Reece Vander Zee has 11 receptions.
The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 222.5 yards per contest, and Kaleb Johnson leads the way with 937 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 17.7 points and 316 yards per game. Jay Higgins leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 62 tackles, Aaron Graves has 5 sacks and Jermari Harris has 3 interceptions.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans lost to Ohio State and Oregon and plays Michigan next. The Michigan State Spartans have split their last 10 home games. Aidan Chiles is completing 56.6 percent of his passes for 1,212 yards, 5 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Nick Marsh and Montorie Foster Jr. have combined for 594 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jack Velling has 19 receptions.
The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 120.2 yards per contest, and Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams leads the way with 338 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 21 points and 329.8 yards per game. Jordan Turner leads the Michigan State Spartans with 37 tackles, Khris Bogle has 3 sacks and Charles Brantley has 3 interceptions.
Why the Iowa Hawkeyes will win
- Iowa has won eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Michigan State has lost seven of its last eight games in October.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games at Spartan Stadium.
- Iowa has covered the spread in six of its last seven October games as a road favorite.
- Michigan State has lost the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last six home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Iowa’s last eight road games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.0).
- Michigan State ranks 130th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (6.5).
- Iowa ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.2).
- Iowa ranks 8th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (19.8).
Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction
The Iowa Hawkeyes are the better team but laying this many points with them on the road isn’t something I’m excited about. Iowa can still be hit or miss offensively and is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games as a favorite of 5 or more points. The Michigan State Spartans have had extra time to prepare for this game and while the offense is a joke, the defense is still good enough to keep them in games. Also, Michigan State has covered 4 straight games as a home favorite, which includes a 3-0 record this year. This could be an ugly Big Ten defensive battle. Give me Sparty and the points.