Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction
Michigan comes into this matchup after winning two of their last three games, but their offense continues to be very low scoring. The Wolverines have an elite defense, but penalties continue to be a sore spot for them. Michigan State is on a lengthy losing streak, but they have been competitive in each of their last three games. The Spartans have a ton of injuries right now and I don’t expect them to score many points here. Take Michigan to cover at home.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines are 5-3 (2-3) this season after they defeated Rutgers by a score of 28-21 in their last game. Michigan led 14-13 at halftime and 21-13 in the fourth quarter, but they needed a late score to get the win. The Wolverines out gained Rutgers by a total of 427-249, went 12-16 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Tommy Carr threw for 266 yards and one touchdown, while JJ Buchanan caught five passes for 63 yards and one score. Savion Hiter rushed 20 times for 76 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, Michigan lost to Indiana by a score of 13-6, but did beat Penn State by a score of 21-18 before that. The Wolverines have scored 21.3 points per game with 178.4 passing yards and 138.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 16.4 points against per game this season. Tommy Carr has thrown for 503 yards with two touchdowns and one interception, while JJ Buchanan has 38 receptions for 611 yards and five scores. Jordan Marshall has led the backfield with 86 carries for 319 yards and five touchdowns this season.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans are 2-6 (0-5) this year after they lost to UCLA by a score of 28-10 in their last game. Michigan State led 7-0 in the first quarter, but they trailed 14-7 at halftime and only scored three points in the second half in the loss. The Spartans were out gained by a total of 443-156, went 2-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-2 in the game. Leo Hannan threw for 67 yards and one interception, while Kayd Coffman threw for 42 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Kenneth Williams rushed 17 times for 54 yards, while Chrishon McCray caught three passes for 42 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Michigan State lost to Northwestern by a score of 24-21 and Illinois by a score of 38-37. The Spartans have scored 19.9 points per game with 181.3 passing yards and 110.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.8 points against per game this season. MSU is dealing with multiple injuries at the quarterback spot, so I am not sure who is starting. Jaziun Patterson has rushed 76 times for 327 yards and five scores, while Chrishon McCray has 29 catches for 289 yards and one touchdown this year.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 32 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium.
- Michigan State has lost each of its last 12 road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of Michigan State’s last four games.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games at Michigan Stadium.
- Michigan has won the first quarter in each of its last six November home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last 11 road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan’s last seven home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of Michigan State’s last nine games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Michigan Wolverines Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Andrew Marsh leads Michigan for receptions (40) this season.
Michigan State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Rhys Dakin ranks 5th amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (48.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Michigan has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (2).
- Michigan State ranks 134th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (291.4).
- Michigan State ranks 128th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (8.6).
Positive Trends
The trends only tell part of the story in this matchup, as the MSU injuries have really hurt them. The Spartans have lost each of their last 12 road games and they are 1-3 against the spread in their last four games at Michigan Stadium. Michigan has started fast in the first quarter in their last six November games against non-ranked teams, while MSU is just 134th in yards per game. Take Michigan to cover here.