In this article we will formulate a Minnesota vs Michigan State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 1st at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 10 matchup.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Preview
The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 5-3 (3-2) this year after they lost to Iowa by a score of 41-3 in their last game. Minnesota trailed 31-0 at halftime and they were never even remotely in the game, but did kick a field goal in the third to avoid the shutout. The Golden Gophers were out gained by a total of 274-133, went 4-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-0 in the game. Drake Lindsey went 16-28 for 109 yards and three interceptions, while Xavier Ford carried the ball eight times for 25 yards. Le’Meke Brockington led the receivers with six catches for 54 yards in the loss. The Minnesota defense recorded two sacks and nine tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that game, Minnesota defeated Nebraska by a score of 24-6 and Purdue by a score of 27-20. The Golden Gophers have won two of their last three games and they are currently tied for seventh in the Big Ten standings. Minnesota has scored 23.9 points per game with 204.1 passing yards and 110.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.8 points against per game this season. Drake Lindsey has thrown for 1,546 yards, 10 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Darius Taylor has rushed for 354 yards and one score on 80 carries this year.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans are 3-5 (0-5) this season after they lost to Michigan by a score of 31-20 last week. Michigan State trailed 10-7 at halftime, but allowed 14 points in the third quarter and never recovered in the loss. The Spartans were out gained by a total of 362-305, went 5-16 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Aidan Chiles went 14-28 for 130 yards, while Makhi Frazier rushed 14 times for 109 yards. Nick Marsh led the receivers with six catches for 75 yards in the loss. The MSU defense recorded one sack and two tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that game, Michigan State lost to Indiana by a score of 38-13 and UCLA by a score of 38-13. The Spartans have lost five games in a row and they are currently last in the Big Ten standings. Michigan State has scored 26.3 points per game with 210.8 passing yards and 122.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 32.5 points against per game this season. Aidan Chiles has thrown for 1,392 yards, 10 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Nick Marsh has 42 receptions for 479 yards and five scores this season.
Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win
- The home team has won each of Minnesota’s last eight games.
- Michigan State has lost each of its last seven road games.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Minnesota has covered the spread in each of its last four games against Michigan State.
- Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last six games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last eight games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between Michigan State and Minnesota have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Minnesota has lost the first quarter in each of its last six games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Minnesota ranks T128th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (30.0).
- Michigan State ranks T123rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.3).
- Michigan State ranks 122nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (15.4).
Minnesota vs Michigan State Prediction
Michigan State comes into this matchup after losing to their rival Michigan last week and they are 0-5 in Big Ten play. The Spartans have allowed 31+ points in each of their last five games and have lost by at least 11 points in their last three road games. Minnesota was blown out by Iowa last week, but they have been very good at home, where they beat Nebraska 24-6 two weeks ago. I don’t love this Minnesota offense, but I will not trust the MSU defense at all. Take Minnesota to cover at home.
David Racey is 93-72 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!