In this article, we will formulate a Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction for this College Football Week 6 matchup on Saturday, October 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Purdue Boilermakers Preview
Purdue has a 2-3 record and a 1-1 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 24-17 road win against Illinois and will face Washington and Penn State next. Offensively, Purdue averages 30.4 points per game, ranking 71st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 35 points per game, which is 130th. Purdue averages 405.8 total yards per game (306.6 passing and 99.2 rushing), while allowing 425.8 total yards per game (183.6 rushing and 242.2 passing).
Ryan Browne leads Purdue with 1,390 passing yards with 70.5% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Fame Ijeboi leads the team in rushing yards with 354, while Asaad Waseem has a team-high 27 receptions for 453 receiving yards. Defensively, Jojo Hayden has a team-high 33 total tackles (13 of them solo), while Jeremy Lewis leads the team with 1.5 sacks.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview
Minnesota has a 4-1 record and a 2-0 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 20-14 home win against Michigan and will face Iowa and Indiana next. Offensively, Minnesota averages 32 points per game, ranking 62nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 18 points per game, which is 35th. Minnesota averages 354.6 total yards per game (234.2 passing and 120.4 rushing), while allowing 253.8 total yards per game (94 rushing and 159.8 passing).
Drake Lindsey leads Minnesota with 1,087 passing yards with 66.9% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. TJ Thomas leads the team in rushing yards with 307, while Noah Jennings has a team-high 26 receptions for 345 receiving yards. Defensively, Maverick Baranowski has a team-high 34 total tackles (18 of them solo), while TJ Bush leads the team with 4 sacks.
Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Purdue Boilermakers Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- The underdog has won six of the last seven games between Minnesota and Purdue.
- Minnesota has lost five of its last six road games.
- The underdog has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between Minnesota and Purdue.
- Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite against teams from Indiana.
- The underdog has won the first quarter in each of the last six games between Minnesota and Purdue.
- Minnesota has lost the first half in each of its last six road games in October.
Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win
- Purdue has lost each of its last nine home games against conference opponents.
- Minnesota has won six of its last seven games.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven home games in October.
- Minnesota has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games.
- Purdue has lost the first half in each of its last 10 games as an underdog in Indiana.
- Minnesota has won the first quarter in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Minnesota’s last five road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Purdue’s last four home games have gone OVER the total points line.
Purdue Boilermakers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Jacobo Echeverria Lozano ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for made field goals (11) this season.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Drake Lindsey ranks 9th amongst qualified players for sack percentage (1.9%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue has lost the fourth quarter in each of its last three games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
- Purdue ranks T133rd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (117).
- Minnesota ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.6).
- Minnesota ranks 4th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (34:45).
Minnesota vs Purdue Prediction
In this Minnesota vs Purdue prediction, Minnesota is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Minnesota has been almost perfect this season with just one defeat and has covered the spread in its last three games. They have a superior defensive line, allowing almost half as many points as Purdue, ranking 35th in the entire country. Purdue is 1-3 in its last 4 games and just3-7 in its last 10 head-to-head meetings against Minnesota, so I like the value with the road team as small favorites. Take Minnesota by -2.5.