The Massachusetts Minutemen and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at Davis Wade Stadium. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Massachusetts Prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs Massachusetts Pick.
Umass Minutemen Betting Preview
The Umass Minutemen lost to Missouri, beat Wagner, and play Liberty next. Massachusetts has lost 5 straight road games. Taisun Phommachanh is completing 57 percent of his passes for 1,541 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Jakobie Keeney-James and TY Harding have combined for 813 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Jacquon Gibson has 17 receptions.
The Umass Minutemen ground game is averaging 136.3 yards per contest, and CJ Hester leads the way with 287 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Umass is allowing 30 points and 328 yards per game. Jalen Stewart leads the Umass Minutemen with 52 tackles, Louce Julien has 2 sacks and Ryan Barnes has 1 interception.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost to Texas A&M and Arkansas, and they play Tennessee next. Mississippi State has lost 4 straight home games. Michael Van Buren Jr. is completing 57.2 percent of his passes for 1,101 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Kevin Coleman Jr. and Mario Craver have combined for 991 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Seydou Traore has 26 receptions.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 131.1 yards per contest, and Davon Booth leads the way with 396 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 36.4 points and 477.6 yards per game. Isaac Smith leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 74 tackles, Branden Jennings has 1.5 sacks and Elijah Cannon has 1 interception.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Massachusetts has lost each of its last 12 road games in November.
- Mississippi State has won each of its last 10 November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has won the first quarter in 29 of its last 33 games against non-conference opponents at Davis Wade Stadium.
- Mississippi State has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 home games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mississippi State’s last five home games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of Massachusetts’ last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi State ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (14.8).
- Mississippi State ranks 131st among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-7.3).
- Massachusetts ranks 133rd among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-7.3).
- Massachusetts ranks 6th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (157.5).
Mississippi State vs Massachusetts Prediction
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are a bad football team that I’m not eager to back in my favorite role, especially the big favorite role. However, Mississippi State is 8-4-1 ATS in its last 13 games as double-digit favorites. Despite how poorly Miss State has looked, there’s a massive talent gap between the Bulldogs and Massachusetts. UMass is 113th in total offense and 122nd in scoring offense. UMass is also 104th in scoring defense. If Mississippi State doesn’t win this game comfortably at home, it’s time to reevaluate the entire program.