The Florida Gators and the Missouri Tigers meet in week 5 college football action from Faurot Field on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers Prediction.
Florida Gators Recap
The Florida Gators will be out to add on to their 52-28 win over Ole Miss last time out to sit at 4-0 this season. After this game, Florida will head home for a game against South Carolina.
Gators Looking To Stay Unbeaten
Aaron Philo has thrown for 917 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 72.4% passing while Jadan Baugh leads Florida in rushing with 600 yards and 11 touchdowns so far this season. Duke Clark sits behind Baugh on the ground with 259 yards and 3 TDs. Vernell Brown III leads the Gators in receiving with 271 yards and 17 catches along with 2 TDs, while Dallas Wilson trails with 236 yards and 14 catches. On defense, Myles Graham has a team-high 28 tackles while Florida’s defense as a whole has combined for 12 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.
Missouri Tigers Recap
The Missouri Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 31-24 loss at the hands of the Bulldogs last time out to sit at 3-1 this season. After this game, Missouri will take on Texas A&M at home.
Tigers Looking To Rebound From First Loss
Austin Simmons has thrown for 947 yards, 11 touchdowns and 0 interceptions on 65.4% passing while Jamal Roberts leads Missouri in rushing with 395 yards and 3 touchdowns so far this season. Xai’Shaun Edwards sits behind Roberts on the ground with 114 yards and 1 TD. Cayden Lee leads the Tigers in receiving with 412 yards and 27 catches along with 4 TDs, while Donovan Olugbode trails with 313 yards and 20 catches. On defense, Nicholas Rodriguez has a team-high 39 tackles while Missouri’s defense as a whole has combined for 12 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.
Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Florida has lost each of its last three October games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has won 18 of its last 20 games at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Florida and Missouri.
- The team ranked 25th in the AP Poll has won the first half in four of its last five games.
- The team ranked 25th in the AP Poll has won the first quarter in each of its last six games.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Missouri has lost each of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won each of Missouri’s last 11 games at Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium.
- Missouri has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven October games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
- The team ranked 8th in the AP Poll has won the first quarter in each of its last six games.
- Florida has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 games as a favorite.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last five games as a favorite against Missouri have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the last seven games between Florida and Missouri have gone UNDER the total points line.
Missouri Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Shaun Terry II ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Florida Gators Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Jadan Baugh ranks 1st amongst FBS players for touchdowns (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Missouri ranks 4th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (18.5).
- Missouri ranks 5th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+13.3).
- Florida has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
- Florida has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points of any FBS team this season (3).
Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers Prediction
I’m looking at Missouri and the points in this one. I get why Florida is favored here as this Gators offense has looked elite so far this season and Jadan Baugh is an animal. However, Missouri’s rush defense is solid and that’s going to be the key to keeping Mizzou in this game. Simmons has been solid under center for the Tigers and I look for him to do enough to cover at the very least. Give me the Tigers and the points.