Missouri vs Georgia Prediction
In this Missouri vs Georgia prediction for this College Football Week 11 matchup on Saturday, November 14th, Georgia is coming as -16.5 home favorites. Georgia is the number one ranked team in the whole country this season, having lost only once in its nine games played and has been excellent against the spread with a 7-2 ATS record. It has been a top-10 both offensively and defensively, having a +27.1 point differential and will face a Missouri team that has lost two of its last three games and has been shaky defensively lately, having allowed 31+ points in two of its last three games. Georgia has also been dominating their head-to-head meetings, having won their last 10 meetings. Take Georgia and lay the -16.5 points in this one.
Georgia Bulldogs Preview
Georgia has an 8-1 record and a 6-1 conference record, sitting on the 1st place of the SEC, while having a 4-1 home record, a 3-0 away record, and a 1-0 neutral record. They are coming off a 42-7 road win against Ole Miss, following a 27-8 neutral win against Florida and a 24-27 home loss against Auburn, and will face South Carolina and Georgia Tech next.
Offensively, Georgia averages 41.1 points per game, while defensively, they allow 14 points per game. Georgia averages 454.2 total yards per game (243.6 passing and 210.7 rushing), while allowing 270.3 total yards per game (83.8 rushing and 186.6 passing). They average 61.8 plays per game and 7.4 yards per play on offense, while allowing 64.1 plays per game and 4.2 yards per play on defense. Georgia averages 21.9 first downs per game on offense and 16.4 first downs per game on defense. They average 9.3 yards per pass attempt and 5.9 yards per rush attempt. Georgia has scored 49 touchdowns this season (23 passing and 22 rushing). They are converting 52.43% of their third downs and 66.67% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 4 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 8 passes.
Gunner Stockton leads Georgia with 1,857 passing yards with 70.9% completed passes and 20 touchdowns. Dwight Phillips Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 481, while Talyn Taylor has a team-high 426 receiving yards and 25 receptions. Defensively, Raylen Wilson and Chris Cole have a team-high 58 total tackles each (36 and 41 of them solo, respectively), while Chris Cole leads the team with 5 sacks.
Missouri Tigers Preview
Missouri has a 6-3 record and a 3-3 conference record, sitting on the 6th place of the SEC, while having a 4-1 home record and a 2-2 away record. They are coming off a 20-34 home loss against Texas, following a 34-10 road win against Arkansas and a 3-31 road loss against Ole Miss, and will face Kentucky and Oklahoma next.
Offensively, Missouri averages 30.2 points per game, while defensively, they allow 20.1 points per game. Missouri averages 414.8 total yards per game (256.6 passing and 158.2 rushing), while allowing 330.4 total yards per game (95.8 rushing and 234.7 passing). They average 68.3 plays per game and 6.1 yards per play on offense, while allowing 67.7 plays per game and 4.9 yards per play on defense. Missouri averages 21.1 first downs per game on offense and 19 first downs per game on defense. They average 7.7 yards per pass attempt and 4.5 yards per rush attempt. Missouri has scored 32 touchdowns this season (18 passing and 12 rushing). They are converting 38.76% of their third downs and 50% of their fourth downs. They have thrown 2 interceptions this season, while their defense has intercepted 7 passes.
Austin Simmons leads Missouri with 2,204 passing yards with 61.8% completed passes and 18 touchdowns. Jamal Roberts leads the team in rushing yards with 1,071, while Cayden Lee has a team-high 835 receiving yards and 62 receptions. Defensively, Nicholas Rodriguez has a team-high 98 total tackles (40 of them solo), while Daeden Hopkins leads the team with 7 sacks.
Missouri Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Georgia Bulldogs will win
- Georgia has won each of its last 25 November games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Missouri has lost each of its last seven games in Georgia.
- Missouri has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog.
- The favorite has covered the spread in five of Missouri’s last six games.
- Missouri has lost the first half in six of its last seven November road games against AP-ranked teams.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Georgia has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has covered the spread in four of its last five games against top-3 AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Georgia’s last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Missouri’s last eight road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Georgia Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Gunner Stockton is one of only five players in the FBS to record 20+ passing TDs and throw less than five INTs this season.
Missouri Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Jamal Roberts has the equal-most rush attempts without a fumble this season (209).
Matchup/League Facts
- Georgia ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.6).
- Georgia ranks 2nd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (25.6).
- Missouri ranks T124th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (75.0).
- Missouri ranks 16th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (98.9).