The Air Force Falcons and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
The Air Force Falcons look for their second road win to remain undefeated on the season. The Air Force Falcons looks for its first 7-0 start since the 1978 season. Zac Larrier is completing 71.4 percent of his passes for 468 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Jared Roznos and Cade Harris have combined for 361 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Brandon Engel has 2 receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 334.5 yards per contest, and Emmanuel Michel leads the way with 497 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 14.7 points and 240 yards per game. Alec Mock leads the Air Force Falcons with 47 tackles, PJ Ramsey has 4.5 sacks and Trey Taylor has 2 interceptions.
Air Force Falcons Team Facts
- Air Force has won each of its last 11 games.
- Air Force has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games in October.
- Air Force has won the first quarter in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
- Air Force has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
- Each of Air Force’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Navy Midshipmen Betting Preview
The Navy Midshipmen look for a third straight win to get above a .500 record. Navy has won 3 of its last 4 home games. Tai Lavatai is completing 51.9 percent of his passes for 426 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Eli Heidenreich and Brandon Chatman have combined for 302 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nathan Kent has 4 receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 235.7 yards per contest, and Alex Tecza leads the way with 503 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 23 points and 375.3 yards per game. Will Harbour leads the Navy Midshipmen with 47 tackles, Luke Pirris has 3 sacks and Rayuan Lane III has 3 interceptions.
Navy Midshipmen Team Facts
- The home team has won nine of the last 10 games between Air Force and Navy.
- Navy has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
- Navy has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents.
- Each of Navy’s last five games against AP-ranked teams at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Air Force rank T8th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (12.2).
- Air Force rank 16th among FBS teams for points per game this season (37.6).
Randy’s Pick
The Air Force Falcons are easily the better, more balanced team, and they should be favored because of that. However, Navy is coming off its two best showings of the season, with wins over North Texas and Charlotte. Navy also has the fifth best rushing attack in the country, and that allows it to shorten the game and keep things competitive. This is a rivalry game, and I’m just not thrilled to lay double-digit chalk in games like this, especially when the home team is the underdog. The home team has won 9 of the last 10 meetings between Air Force and Navy. It’s Navy and the points or pass for me.