The Duke Blue Devils and the NC State Wolfpack meet in week 11 college football action from Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an NC State vs Duke Prediction.
Duke Recap
The Duke Blue Devils come into this game looking to rebound from a 53-31 loss at the hands of Miami last time out to fall to 6-3 on the year. After this game, Duke will have a bye before welcoming Virginia Tech to town.
Duke Loses Back-To-Back For First Time This Season
Entering the Miami game, Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1,796 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 58.6% passing while Star Thomas leads the Blue Devils on the ground with 681 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Jordan Moore has 34 receptions for 481 yards and 4 TDs while Eli Pancol has 36 grabs for 446 yards and 6 touchdowns. Another pair of Blue Devils have 200+ receiving yards and two more Dukies have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Alex Howard has a team-high 59 total tackles including 5 sacks while Vincent Anthony Jr. and Wesley Williams each have 4 sacks. As a unit, Duke’s defense has combined for 24 sacks and 9 interceptions on the year.
Why the Duke Blue Devils will win
- Duke has won four of its last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Duke has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- NC State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games at Carter-Finley Stadium.
NC State Recap
The NC State Wolfpack come into this one looking to build on their 59-28 win over Stanford last time out to improve to 5-4 on the year. After this game, NC State will have a bye before going on the road for their final two games of the season starting with a game at Georgia Tech.
Wolfpack Close To Bowl Eligibility
Entering the Stanford matchup, CJ Bailey has thrown for 1,376 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 INTs on 67.1% passing. Jordan Waters has rushed for 260 yards and 2 touchdowns while Kendrick Raphael has 287 rushing yards and 3 TDs and Hollywood Smothers also has 157 rushing yards as well on the year. Kevin Concepcion has a team-high 43 receptions for 365 yards and 4 touchdowns while Justin Joly has 26 grabs for a team-leading 447 yards and Noah Rogers has 313 receiving yards this season. On defense, Caden Fordham has 49 total tackles while Sean Brown has 56 total tackles including 3 sacks. Davin Vann also has a team-high 4.5 sacks this year. As a unit, NC State’s defense has combined for 17 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- Duke has lost each of its last seven road games against conference opponents.
- NC State has won each of its last six games in November.
- NC State has covered the spread in each of its last six games in November.
- Duke has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
NC State vs Duke Prediction
I’m on NC State here. I think we’re starting to see what a lot of folks were worried about with Duke which was what would happen when Duke’s luck ran out. Duke had a lot of breaks go their way on the way to their 6-2 record, but now the bounces are going against them. NC State looked dead in the water at times this year but found a way to now have a shot at a bowl game with a win here and it’s NC State’s final home game of the season so one would have to think that means something extra. Give me NC State.