The Florida State Seminoles and NC State Wolfpack meet Friday in college football action at Carter-Finley Stadium. Here’s a NC State vs Florida State Prediction. This article will include a NC State vs Florida State Pick.
Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview
The Florida State Seminoles lost to Clemson, beat Virginia Tech, and they play Florida next. Florida State has lost 5 of its last 7 games. Tommy Castellanos is completing 59 percent of his passes for 2,317 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Duce Robinson and Micahi Danzy have combined for 1,469 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Lawayne McCoy has 18 receptions.
The Florida State Seminoles ground game is averaging 227.7 yards per contest, and Gavin Sawchuk leads the way with 444 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida State is allowing 20.3 points and 321 yards per game. Earl Little Jr. leads the Florida State Seminoles with 63 tackles, Mandrell Desir has 5 sacks and Jerry Wilson has 3 interceptions.
NC State Wolfpack Betting Preview
The NC State Wolfpack lost to Miami, beat Georgia Tech, and plays North Carolina next. NC State has lost 3 of its last 4 games. CJ Bailey is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 2,531 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Terrell Anderson and Justin Joly have combined for 924 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Noah Rogers has 27 receptions.
The NC State Wolfpack ground game is averaging 147 yards per contest, and Hollywood Smothers leads the way with 823 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, NC State is allowing 31.6 points and 440.4 yards per game. Caden Fordham leads the NC State Wolfpack with 103 tackles, Sabastian Harsh has 2.5 sacks and Ronnie Royal III has 1 interception.
NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Hollywood Smothers ranks T15th amongst qualified players for catch rate (85.7%) this season.
Florida State Seminoles Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 13, Micahi Danzy ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- NC State ranks 136th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (299.9).
- NC State ranks 127th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (440.4).
- Florida State has recorded the largest margin of victory of any FBS team this season (74-points vs East Texas A&M on September 6, 2025).
- Florida State has recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (74-points vs East Texas A&M on September 6, 2025).
NC State vs Florida State Prediction
NC State is free-falling with losses in 5 of their last 7 games, it hasn’t played defense all year, and it’s produced seven points in two of its last four games. Florida State is playing the better ball right now. However, I’m not excited to back Florida State in the favorite role, especially on the road. Florida State has underachieved for much of the season as well, and sorry wins over Wake Forest and Virginia Tech don’t move the needle for me.
FSU hasn’t won a road game this season, and hasn’t won a road game overall since November 2023. Florida State is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 games as a road favorite. Weekday game under the lights, I’m siding with the home dog. As bad as NC State has been, I’m not laying points with FSU on the road.