In this article we will formulate a Nebraska vs Michigan State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 4th at Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Nebraska. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.
Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Preview
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 3-1 (0-1) this year after they lost to Michigan by a score of 30-27 in their last game. Nebraska tied the game at 17 right before halftime, but they only managed three points for the majority of the second half in the loss. The Cornhuskers were out gained by a total of 391-351, went 2-12 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Dylan Raiola went 30-41 for 308 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Emmett Johnson rushed 19 times for 65 yards. Jacory Barney Jr caught six passes for 120 yards and two scores to lead the receivers in the loss. The Nebraska defense recorded one sack and five tackles for loss in the game.
In their first four games, Nebraska defeated Cincinnati, Akron, and Houston Christian. The Cornhuskers are averaging 43.5 points per game with 351.8 passing yards and 144.8 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 13.5 points against per game this season. Dylan Raiola has completed 75.6% of his passes for 1,137 yards, 11 touchdowns, and one interception, while Jacory Barney Jr has 21 receptions for 301 yards and three scores. Emmett Johnson has led the rushing attack with 71 carries for 391 yards and four touchdowns this year.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans are 3-1 (0-1) this season after they lost to USC by a score of 45-31 in their last game. Michigan State trailed 31-10 early in the third quarter and 45-24 in the fourth, before scoring a 75 yard touchdown to manage the back door cover. The Spartans were out gained by a total of 523-337, went 5-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Aidan Chiles went 12-21 for 212 yards and three touchdowns, while Makhi Frazier rushed 14 times for 61 yards. Omari Kelly led the MSU receivers with six receptions for 133 yards and one score in the loss. The Michigan State defense recorded zero sacks and zero tackles for loss in the game.
In their first three games, Michigan State defeated Western Michigan, Boston College, and Youngstown State. The Spartans are averaging 34.3 points per game with 220.3 passing yards and 154.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 28.8 points against per game this season. Aidan Chiles has completed 68.6% of his passes for 868 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception, while Omari Kelly has caught 21 passes for 317 yards and one score. Makhi Frazier has led the MSU ground game with 267 yards and two touchdowns on 57 carries this season.
Why Nebraska will beat Michigan State
- Michigan State has lost each of its last six road games in October.
- The favorite has won each of Nebraska’s last eight games.
- Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has covered the spread in each of Nebraska’s last four games at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln).
- Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Nebraska’s last five games at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln) have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Michigan State’s last five games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Nebraska ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (18.8).
- Nebraska ranks 1st among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (75.8).
- Michigan State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Michigan State has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
Nebraska vs Michigan State Prediction
Michigan State comes into this matchup with a 3-1 record to start the season, but they played terrible defense against USC in their last game and their win against Boston College is looking pretty weak at this point. Nebraska is also 3-1 on the year, but they did lose their last home game against Michigan. Nebraska does have a solid quarterback and their defense should control the trenches. The Cornhuskers have looked like the better team this year and I really have no faith in this MSU defense, so I will back Nebraska to cover at home.
David Racey is 48-36 (57%) in College Football this season and is #1 on the leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for the week!