In this article we will formulate a New Mexico vs San Diego State prediction for this College Football game on Friday, November 28th at University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos are 8-3 (5-2) this season after they defeated Air Force by a score of 20-3 in their last game. New Mexico led 17-0 at halftime and they got the easy win, but only managed three points in the second half. The Lobos out gained Air Force by a total of 277-161, went 7-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Jack Layne went 10-15 for 105 yards, while Damon Bankston rushed 10 times for 61 yards and one score. Keagan Johnson led the receivers with four catches for 55 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, New Mexico defeated Colorado State by a score of 20-17 and UNLV by a score of 40-35. The Lobos have won five games in a row and they are currently tied for second in the Mountain West standings. New Mexico has scored 28.4 points per game with 222.5 passing yards and 152.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.0 points against per game this season. Jack Layne has thrown for 2,271 yards, 12 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Keagan Johnson has 54 receptions for 693 yards and three scores this season.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs are 9-2 (6-1) this year after they defeated San Jose State by a score of 25-3 last week. San Diego State led 18-3 at halftime and they got the win, but only scored seven points in the second half. The Aztecs were out gained by a total of 268-248, went 5-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Jayden Denegal went 8-16 for 81 yards, while Lucky Sutton rushed 20 times for 79 yards and one score. Donovan Brown led the receivers with two catches for 63 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, San Diego State defeated Boise State by a score of 17-7, but lost to Hawaii by a score of 38-6 before that. The Aztecs have won eight of their last nine games and they are currently first in the Mountain West standings. San Diego State has scored 25.5 points per game with 152.9 passing yards and 187.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 11.6 points against per game this season. Jayden Denegal has thrown for 1,645 yards, eight touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Lucky Sutton has rushed for 1,127 yards and nine scores on 217 carries this year.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won each of its last six home games.
- San Diego State has lost each of its last six road games in November.
- New Mexico has covered the spread in each of its last five November games as an underdog.
- San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games as a road favorite.
- New Mexico has won the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- New Mexico has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of New Mexico’s last 10 games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of San Diego State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- New Mexico ranks 12th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.0).
- New Mexico ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (3.3).
- San Diego State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (11.6).
- San Diego State ranks T2nd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (5.0).
New Mexico vs San Diego State Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup towards the top of the Mountain West standings and they are both trying to get into the Mountain West Title game. San Diego State has an elite defense, but their offense is below average. The Aztecs were very lucky to go against backup quarterbacks in their last two games, as their offense was not good at all. New Mexico has won five games in a row and their offense has been a little more reliable than SDSU’s. I think this is a great spot for New Mexico at home and their passing attack will be the difference. Take the Lobos to win.
David Racey is 140-118 (54%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!