In this article, we will formulate a North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction for this College Football Week 12 game on Saturday, November 15th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Preview
Wake Forest has a 6-3 record this season and is sitting 8th in the ACC. They are 6-3-0 ATS, 4-5-0 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 3-1 away record. Wake Forest is coming off a 16-9 road win against Virginia and will face North Carolina, Delaware and Duke next.
Offensively, Wake Forest averages 23.3 points per game, ranking 101st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.3 points per game, which is 31st. Wake Forest averages 356.7 total yards per game (215.6 passing and 141.1 rushing), while allowing 325.3 total yards per game (137.1 rushing and 188.2 passing).
Robby Ashford leads Wake Forest with 1,344 passing yards with 57.3% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Demond Claiborne leads the team in rushing yards with 714, while Chris Barnes has a team-high 34 receptions for 504 receiving yards. Defensively, Nick Andersen has a team-high 76 total tackles (33 of them solo), while Langston Hardy leads the team in sacks, with 4.5.
North Carolina Tar Heels Preview
North Carolina has a 4-5 record this season and is sitting 13th in the ACC. They are 5-4-0 ATS, 2-7-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 2-2 away record. North Carolina is coming off a 20-15 home win against Stanford and will face Wake Forest, Duke and North Carolina State next.
Offensively, North Carolina averages 19.4 points per game, ranking 122nd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21.3 points per game, which is 37th. North Carolina averages 293.1 total yards per game (178.0 passing and 115.1 rushing), while allowing 321.2 total yards per game (102.6 rushing and 218.7 passing).
Gio Lopez leads North Carolina with 1,224 passing yards with 64.3% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Davion Gause leads the team in rushing yards with 219, while Jordan Shipp has a team-high 40 receptions for 467 receiving yards. Defensively, Khmori House has a team-high 62 total tackles (35 of them solo), while Melkart Abou-Jaoude leads the team in sacks, with 10.5.
North Carolina Tar Heels @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons Betting Trends: Week 12
Why the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will win
- North Carolina has lost each of its last seven games as an underdog in North Carolina.
- Wake Forest has won four of its last five games.
- North Carolina has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games against teams from North Carolina.
- Wake Forest has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
- Wake Forest has won the first half in each of its last four home games against conference opponents.
Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win
- Wake Forest has lost each of its last eight November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- North Carolina has won each of its last four games against Wake Forest.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of North Carolina’s last four games.
- Wake Forest has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games against teams from North Carolina.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of North Carolina’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Wake Forest’s last five games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 12, Carlos Hernandez ranks 2nd in the Atlantic Coast Conference for punt return yards (217) this season.
North Carolina Tar Heels Player Prop Facts
- Gio Lopez has recorded a 120.0+ passer rating in two consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS.
Matchup/League Facts
- Wake Forest ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.9).
- Wake Forest ranks 133rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (65.5).
- North Carolina ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (4.0).
- North Carolina ranks 6th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (76.9).
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction
In this North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction, Wake Forest is coming as -6-point home favorites, with the total set at 38.5 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup in good form, as Wake Forest is 4-1 in its last 5 games and 5-1 against the spread, while North Carolina has back-to-back wins and are 3-1 against the spread. The total is set at a very low mark of 38.5 points and both teams score 42.6 points per game combined, while allowing 41.6 points per game combined, both numbers way above than today’s total. Take the over 38.5 points in this one.