Northern Illinois vs San Jose State Prediction
In this Northern Illinois vs San Jose State prediction, San Jose State is coming as -10.5 home favorites. San Jose State has been the superior team this season as they will face a terrible Northern Illinois squad that has been winless this season and has also been terrible against the spread with a 2-6 ATS record, having lost all of its five games on the road. San Jose State combines a bad offense with a good defense, having 42.2 average total points this season and will face the third-worst offense in the entire country, so this is a recipe for a low-scoring grind. Both teams are 11-2 to the under in their last 13 games combined so I will go with the under 51.5 points in this one.
San Jose State Spartans Preview
San Jose State has a 4-5 record and a 2-3 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 16-21 home loss against New Mexico and will face Air Force and UNLV next,
Offensively, San Jose State averages 19.9 points per game, ranking 123rd in the nation, while defensively, they allow 22.3 points per game, which is 54th. San Jose State averages 348.3 total yards per game (227.9 passing and 120.4 rushing), while allowing 375.7 total yards per game (152.6 rushing and 223.1 passing). They average 64.6 plays per game and 5.4 yards per play on offense, while allowing 70.8 plays per game and 5.3 yards per play on defense. San Jose State averages 17.2 first downs per game on offense and 19.9 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.1 times per game and are forcing 1.3 turnovers per game.
Luke Weaver leads San Jose State with 1,810 passing yards with 63.6% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Jabari Bates leads the team in rushing yards with 649, while Carson Clark has a team-high 642 receiving yards and 55 receptions. Defensively, Dylan Lee has a team-high 78 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Jayland McGlothen leads the team with 6.0 sacks.
Northern Illinois Huskies Preview
Northern Illinois has a 0-8 record and a 0-4 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 24-31 road loss against UNLV and will face Nevada and North Dakota State next.
Offensively, Northern Illinois averages 16.2 points per game, ranking 136th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 37.6 points per game, which is 136th. Northern Illinois averages 325.6 total yards per game (208.0 passing and 117.6 rushing), while allowing 433.8 total yards per game (218.8 rushing and 215.0 passing). They average 62.8 plays per game and 5.2 yards per play on offense, while allowing 66.0 plays per game and 6.6 yards per play on defense. Northern Illinois averages 17.9 first downs per game on offense and 22.6 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.6 times per game and are forcing 1.1 turnovers per game.
Taron Dickens leads Northern Illinois with 1,617 passing yards with 63.6% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Telly Johnson Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 574, while DeAree Rogers has a team-high 633 receiving yards and 64 receptions. Defensively, Jack Murray has a team-high 58 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Avery Jones leads the team with 2.0 sacks.
Northern Illinois Huskies @ San Jose State Spartans Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- Northern Illinois has lost each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won 13 of Northern Illinois’ last 14 games.
- Northern Illinois has failed to cover the spread in 11 of its last 13 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The favorite has won the first half in 13 of Northern Illinois’ last 14 games.
Why the Northern Illinois Huskies will win
- San Jose State has lost each of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games at CEFCU Stadium.
- The road team has covered the spread in three of Northern Illinois’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Jose State’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Northern Illinois’ last five road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Carson Clark leads the Mountain West Conference for receiving yards (642) this season.
Northern Illinois Huskies Player Prop Facts
- DeAree Rogers has recorded 7+ receptions in seven consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 10.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Jose State ranks 135th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:20).
- San Jose State ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.9).
- Northern Illinois ranks 137th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (11.1).
- Northern Illinois ranks 137th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (24.5).