Northwestern vs Michigan Prediction Football Picks Today 11/15/25

In this article we will formulate a Northwestern vs Michigan prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 15th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Northwestern Wildcats Betting Preview

The Northwestern Wildcats are 5-4 (3-3) this year after they lost to USC by a score of 38-17 in their last game. Northwestern trailed 21-14 at halftime and only scored three points in the second half in the loss. The Wildcats were out gained by a total of 482-280, went 4-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Preston Stone went 20-30 for 150 yards and one touchdown, while Caleb Komolafe rushed 17 times for 118 yards and one score. Komolafe also led the receivers with five catches for 40 yards in the loss. The NW defense recorded one sack and two tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Northwestern lost to Nebraska by a score of 28-21, but did beat Purdue by a score of 19-0 before that. The Wildcats have lost two games in a row and they are currently tied for ninth in the Big Ten standings. Northwestern has scored 21.9 points per game with 169.9 passing yards and 181.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 19.1 points against per game this season. Preston Stone has thrown for 1,522 yards, 11 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Caleb Komolafe has rushed 141 times for 726 yards and eight scores this year. 

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 7-2 (5-1) this season after they defeated Purdue by a score of 21-16 in their last game. Michigan led 14-7 at halftime and 21-10 in the fourth quarter, but they needed a few defensive stops to seal the win. The Wolverines out gained Purdue by a total of 398-276, went 6-11 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Bryce Underwood went 13-22 for 145 yards and one interception, while Jordan Marshall rushed 25 times for 185 yards and three scores. Zack Marshall led the receivers with three catches for 58 yards in the win. The Michigan defense recorded three sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Michigan defeated Michigan State by a score of 31-20 and Washington by a score of 24-7. The Wolverines have won three games in a row and they are currently tied for third in the Big Ten standings. Michigan has scored 28.1 points per game with 185.7 passing yards and 223.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 17.2 points against per game this season. Bryce Underwood has thrown for 1,671 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jordan Marshall has rushed for 729 yards and eight scores on 124 carries this season. 

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Northwestern has lost each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan has won 42 of its last 44 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan has covered the spread in seven of its last eight road games in November.
• Northwestern has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against teams from Michigan.
• Michigan has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
• Northwestern has lost the first half in seven of its last nine games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Michigan’s last nine road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Northwestern’s last six home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Northwestern ranks 13th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (32:43).
• Northwestern ranks 119th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (169.9).
• Michigan ranks 136th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (20.0).
• Michigan ranks T9th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (7.7).

Northwestern vs Michigan Prediction 

Michigan comes into this matchup ranked in the top 25 and they are on a three game winning streak, but they have had some issues on the road. The Wolverines have losses to USC and Oklahoma on the road, and they were very sloppy in their road win against Michigan State. Northwestern has lost two games in a row and they have allowed 38 and 28 points in both of those games. The Wildcats actually have a decent defense, but their offense is very low scoring and is going to run into some trouble here. I don’t love to back Michigan on the road, but I think they will shut down the NW offense. Take the Wolverines to cover here. 

David Racey is 117-95 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!