In this article, we will formulate an Oregon vs Illinois Prediction for this College Football Week 8 matchup on Saturday, October 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Illinois Fighting Illini Preview
Illinois has a 3-3 record and a 1-2 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 38-37 road win against Michigan State and will face Maryland and Nebraska next.
Offensively, Illinois averages 31.8 points per game, ranking 51st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.8 points per game, which is 106th. Illinois averages 405.5 total yards per game (254.7 passing and 150.8 rushing), while allowing 375.2 total yards per game (126.8 rushing and 248.3 passing).
Katin Houser leads Illinois with 1,440 passing yards with 66.3% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Aidan Laughery leads the team in rushing yards with 391, while Collin Dixon has a team-high 608 receiving yards and 47 receptions. Defensively, Matthew Bailey has a team-high 41 total tackles (25 of them solo), while James Kreutz leads the team with one sack.
Oregon Ducks Preview
Oregon has a 4-2 record and a 2-1 record in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 17-14 home win against Nebraska and will face Northwestern and Ohio State next.
Offensively, Oregon averages 37 points per game, ranking 24th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.7 points per game, which is 42nd. Oregon averages 422.7 total yards per game (283 passing and 139.7 rushing), while allowing 327.3 total yards per game (111.7 rushing and 215.7 passing).
Dante Moore leads Oregon with 926 passing yards with 69.7% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Jordon Davison leads the team in rushing yards with 330, while Evan Stewart has a team-high 352 receiving yards and 27 receptions. Defensively, Koi Perich has a team-high 40 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Matayo Uiagalelei leads the team with 6 sacks.
Oregon Ducks @ Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends: Week 8
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- Illinois has won eight of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Gies Memorial Stadium.
- The underdog has covered the spread in six of Illinois’ last seven games.
- Oregon has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games in October.
- Illinois has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Gies Memorial Stadium.
- Illinois has won the first quarter in three of its last four October games as a home underdog.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won each of its last 12 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Illinois has lost seven of its last eight October games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has covered the spread in each of its last seven road games in October.
- Illinois has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has won the first quarter in each of its last six road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has won the first half in 10 of its last 11 October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Oregon’s last nine October games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Illinois’ last five home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Illinois Fighting Illini Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Collin Dixon ranks T3rd amongst FBS players for receiving touchdowns (9) this season.
Oregon Ducks Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 8, Dante Moore ranks 6th amongst qualified players for passer rating (178.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Illinois ranks T137th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (100.0).
- Illinois ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.7).
- Oregon ranks T3rd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.0).
- Oregon ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+7.7).
Oregon vs Illinois Prediction
In this Oregon vs Illinois prediction, Oregon is coming as -8.5 road favorites. Oregon has a better record and is 3-1 in its last 4 games, while having better numbers than Illinois both offensively and defensively, ranking on the top-25 of the entire country in points scored and having a +16.3 point differential. On the flip side, Illinois has lost two of its last three home games and has allowed 37+ points in two of its last three, so I will be fading them in this matchup. Take Oregon and lay the -8.5 points on the road.