In this article we will formulate an Oregon vs Minnesota prediction for this College Football game on Friday, November 14th at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup.
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
The Oregon Ducks are 8-1 (5-1) this season after they defeated Iowa by a score of 18-16 last week. Oregon led 12-7 at halftime and 15-7 in the fourth quarter, but they needed a last second field goal to escape with the win. The Ducks out gained Iowa by a total of 373-239, went 3-10 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Dante Moore went 13-21 for 112 yards and one interception, while Noah Whittington rushed 17 times for 118 yards. Jamari Johnson led the receivers with four catches for 36 yards in the win. The Oregon defense recorded two sacks and four tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that game, Oregon defeated Wisconsin by a score of 21-7 and Rutgers by a score of 56-10. The Ducks have won three games in a row and they are currently tied for third in the Big Ten standings. Oregon has scored 38.9 points per game with 231.9 passing yards and 239.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 13.8 points against per game this season. Dante Moore has thrown for 1,884 yards, 19 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Noah Whittington has rushed 68 times for 551 yards and four scores this season.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Preview
The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 6-3 (4-2) this year after they defeated Michigan State in overtime by a score of 23-20 in their last game. Minnesota led 10-0 at halftime, but needed a touchdown with 29 seconds left to force overtime, before getting the dramatic win. The Golden Gophers were out gained by a total of 467-301, went 6-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Drake Lindsey went 26-39 for 197 yards, while Fame Ijeboi rushed 17 times for 108 yards and one score. Javon Tracy led the receivers with seven catches for 61 yards in the win. The Minnesota defense recorded seven sacks and 12 tackles for loss in the game.
Prior to that game, Minnesota lost to Iowa by a score of 41-3, but did beat Nebraska by a score of 24-6 before that. The Golden Gophers have won three of their last four games and they are currently tied for sixth in the Big Ten standings. Minnesota has scored 23.8 points per game with 203.3 passing yards and 109.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.6 points against per game this season. Drake Lindsey has thrown for 1,743 yards, 10 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Le’Meke Brockington has 37 receptions for 385 yards and three scores this year.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won each of its last 43 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Autzen Stadium.
- Minnesota has lost each of its last eight November games as a road underdog against AP-ranked teams.
- Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
- Oregon has covered the spread in four of its last five home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Oregon has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against conference opponents at Autzen Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Minnesota’s last seven games against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Oregon’s last six games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oregon has recorded the largest margin of victory in a road game this season (46-points vs Rutgers on October 18, 2025).
- Oregon ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (2.1).
- Minnesota has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 10 points or less of any FBS team this season (3).
- Minnesota ranks 129th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (30.0).
Oregon vs Minnesota Prediction
Oregon comes into this matchup looking for their fourth straight win, but they have not played very well against Iowa and Wisconsin in their last two. The Ducks barely got by Iowa last week and they have scored 39 total points in their last two games. Minnesota has won three of their last four games, but they lost by 38 in their last road game against Iowa and also by 39 at Ohio State earlier this year. I can’t trust Minnesota on the road and even though the Oregon offense is a concern, I will still take the Ducks to win big.
David Racey is 117-95 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!