Penn State vs Indiana Prediction Football Picks 10-28-23
Penn State Nittany Lions (6-1) vs Indiana Hoosiers (2-5)
2023-10-28 12:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Penn State Nittany Lions -30.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Indiana Hoosiers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at Beaver Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
The Indiana Hoosiers look for an upset to snap a 3-game losing streak. The Indiana Hoosiers have lost 6 of their last 7 road games. Tayven Jackson is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 914 yards, 2 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Cam Camper and Donaven McCulley have combined for 509 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jaylin Lucas has 29 receptions. The Indiana Hoosiers ground game is averaging 113.7 yards per contest, and Lucas leads the way with 247 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 29.3 points and 369 yards per game. Aaron Casey leads the Indiana Hoosiers with 59 tackles, Lanell Carr Jr. has 3 sacks and Phillip Dunnam has 3 interceptions.
Indiana Hoosiers Team Facts
- Indiana has lost each of its last 11 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Indiana has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine road games.
- Indiana has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
- Each of Indiana’s last four games as a road underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions look to remain undefeated at home to improve to 7-1 on the year. Penn State has won 6 straight home games. Drew Allar is completing 61 percent of his passes for 1,445 yards, 13 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. KeAndre Lambert-Smith and Theo Johnson have combined for 660 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Harrison Wallace III has 15 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 181.3 yards per contest, and Nicholas Singleton leads the way with 410 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 9.7 points and 218.7 yards per game. Curtis Jacobs leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 32 tackles, Adisa Isaac has 5.5 sacks and Daequan Hardy has 2 interceptions.
Penn State Nittany Lions Team Facts
- Penn State has won each of its last 17 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Penn State has covered the spread in each of its last 12 games as a favorite.
- Penn State has won the first half in each of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
- Penn State has won the first quarter in each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
- Eight of Penn State’s last 10 home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Penn State rank 2nd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (9.7).
- The Penn State are one of only six FBS teams undefeated in home games this season ([z-0]).
Randy’s Pick
The Indiana Hoosiers are a bad football team on both sides of the ball, and their offense is nonexistent, ranked 118th in total offense and 124th in scoring offense. Not ideal when going up against Penn State, that’s first in total defense and second in scoring defense. Penn State is also 5-1 ATS since 2018 when favorites of 30 or more points, and two of those covers came this year. I just don’t see how Indiana is going to find offensive success in this spot. Big number, but give me Penn State anyway.